CVX – Chevron Corporation

Energy | Oil & Gas Integrated | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$205.27
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+12.95%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 1 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
43.9
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
5%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
64% / 36%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
17.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$187.38
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
27d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+2.63%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+5.51%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+9.55%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Building – Constructive Composite Score: +3 / 7

CVX is trending in a positive direction but the setup is not yet fully developed. Momentum has been running for 8 days and is still gaining strength – the trend is building. The overall configuration is constructive but not yet at peak alignment.

What to watch

The trend deserves respect but not blind confidence. Position sizing should reflect the incomplete alignment. A further improvement in momentum strength and ADX would raise conviction.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest CVX Reports

CVX Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $205.27  ·  ATR14: $1.99

Trend Building – Constructive Composite Score: +3 / 7

CVX is trending in a positive direction but the setup is not yet fully developed. Momentum has been running for 8 days and is still gaining strength – the trend is building. The overall configuration is constructive but not yet at peak alignment.

What to watch

The trend deserves respect but not blind confidence. Position sizing should reflect the incomplete alignment. A further improvement in momentum strength and ADX would raise conviction.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 8d Strength: 0.66 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 43.9 – Strong ADX38: 44.0
Volatility (HV30) 23.7% – Calm HV90: 25.7% | HV180: 25.4%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance 4.36 ATR ↓ EMA21: $194.68
GD200 Extension 7.5 ATR – Extended GD20: 2.4 | GD50: 5.3 | GD100: 4.8
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 8 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.66). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 43.9 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 44.0. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 23.7% | HV90: 25.7% | HV180: 25.4%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $185.67 above GD200 $178.59 by 3.97%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is 4.36 ATR from the EMA21 ($194.68) but the distance is shrinking.
📏 Extended Move
7.5 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $195.77 (2.4 ATR) | GD50: $185.67 (5.3 ATR) | GD100: $187.45 (4.8 ATR) | GD200: $178.59 (7.5 ATR). ATR14: $1.99.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -8.80 -0.81 4.14 6.19 -9.99 -6.14 12.93 -3.89 5.58 0.80 0.25 10.34 19.72
2011 3.25 8.64 4.47 1.03 -2.27 0.34 -0.07 -5.45 -6.01 16.86 1.52 4.50 19.39
2012 -6.57 6.97 -2.32 -1.61 -8.37 9.42 3.53 2.31 4.81 -5.98 -4.36 3.33 1.28
2013 4.32 1.34 1.63 2.01 2.89 -4.63 5.73 -3.96 0.79 -1.12 4.63 2.10 16.88
2014 -10.08 4.69 3.55 5.49 -0.88 6.82 -1.00 2.06 -6.45 1.96 -5.91 0.41 -6.42
2015 -8.93 1.57 -0.88 5.98 -4.59 -6.00 -7.93 -4.19 0.88 15.99 -2.66 -2.73 -16.47
2016 -2.67 -0.93 10.76 8.40 -1.20 3.65 -1.60 2.55 2.71 2.25 5.82 3.89 38.37
2017 -5.51 2.32 -5.71 -1.02 -1.30 0.06 2.71 -1.88 8.03 -1.31 3.63 4.76 10.46
2018 -1.74 -9.98 1.78 11.46 0.42 2.08 1.62 -4.62 2.87 -10.23 8.03 T
-9.84 		-11.44
2019 T
3.59 		2.03 0.94 -3.91 T
-2.41 		7.29 -1.39 -1.49 T
2.01 		0.11 T
1.79 		T
3.17 		13.30
2020 -11.77 -11.15 -24.98 T
34.19 		4.03 -3.84 -4.20 0.39 -13.33 -1.31 T
22.62 		-3.43 -26.52
2021 T
0.57 		T
17.36 		2.68 -2.53 T
-0.44 		-1.79 -4.14 -3.50 T
6.00 		9.75 -0.31 4.68 45.79
2022 10.12 7.95 8.76 -4.60 T
10.23 		-17.89 11.78 T
-0.63 		-7.63 T
19.22 		1.37 -1.64 55.92
2023 T
0.02 		-5.35 0.69 T
-0.81 		-9.06 3.41 T
4.10 		-0.74 2.63 T
-12.50 		-0.26 T
3.00 		-1.80
2024 T
-1.37 		2.79 3.23 1.38 1.67 -0.66 T
2.52 		-3.06 1.80 -0.59 5.79 -10.71 -3.10
2025 T
1.69 		6.21 9.28 -19.26 0.32 3.88 4.17 6.08 -4.04 T
2.03 		T
-1.89 		-0.09 3.89
2026 T
13.47 		7.31 9.12 -2.08 -4.29 -10.80 T
18.79 		6.26 31.67

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for CVX:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
17.07.26 $187.38 27d +2.63% +5.51% +9.55% +0%
02.01.26 $155.90 53d +6.58% +13.47% +17.86% +31.67%
11.11.25 $156.24 6d -0.91% -0.91% -0.91% +0%
31.10.25 $157.72 1d -1.36% +0% +0% +0%
15.01.25 $158.33 31d -1.67% -2.17% -1.05% +21.13%
30.07.24 $159.57 17d +0.56% +0.56% +0.56% +5.6%
17.07.24 $161.23 2d -1.03% +0% +0% +0%
31.01.24 $147.43 48d +2.15% +3.33% +4.38% -0.11%
20.12.23 $150.25 12d +0.27% -0.5% +1.32% +0%
19.12.23 $151.64 0d +0% +0% +0% +0%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for CVX: 12.95%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +18.3% +10.89% +15.28% +15.17% Hold
7-10% 2 +9.6% +19.11% +15.37% +16.2% Hold
5-7% 2 +6.08% +13.33% +16.89% +20.68% Hold
3-5% 3 +4.39% +4.2% +5.4% +26.09% Hold
1-3% 6 +2.12% +3.98% +5.32% +3% Close
0-1% 7 +0.26% +0.77% +2.15% +10.3% Hold
-1-0% 3 -0.66% -0.3% -0.3% +0% Neg
-3-1% 9 -1.59% -0.79% -0.37% +1.81% Neg
-5-3% 7 -3.85% -3.36% -1.01% +0.51% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 7.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
5%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
64% / 36%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
12,201,761.4
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$207.50 · 1.1%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$205.00 · 0.1%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$205.27
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

CVX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

CVX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 5% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (64% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 5% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$392.32 B
PE Ratio (TTM)19.01
Forward PE15.25
PEG Ratio0.75
EV/EBITDA8.33
Price/Sales1.87
Price/Book2.07
Beta0.49

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin44.27%
Operating Margin21.87%
Net Margin9.83%
ROE12.23%
ROA5.86%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$7.12
Forward Yield360.00%
Payout Ratio67.18%
Dividend Date2026-09-09

Analyst Consensus (24 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$220
High Target$236
Low Target$175

About Chevron Corporation

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and All Other segments. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration for, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; processing, liquefaction, transportation, and regasification of liquefied natural gas; transportation of crude oil through pipelines; transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and operation of a gas-to-liquids plant. Its Downstream segment refines crude oil into petroleum products; markets crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufactures and markets renewable fuels; transports crude oil and refined products through pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufactures and markets commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The All Other segment engages in cash management and debt financing; insurance; real estate; and technology activities. It has operations in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia. The company was formerly known as ChevronTexaco Corporation and changed its name to Chevron Corporation in May 2005. Chevron Corporation was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

ETF Holdings

Chevron Corporation is included in 4 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLE 17.44%
DIA 2.76%
XOP 2.74%
SPY 0.69%

Frequently Asked Questions – Chevron Corporation (CVX)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.