XOP – State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

ETF

Equity Energy | Inception: 2006-06-19

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$188.24
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+3.85%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 4 signals – treat with caution
3.8
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
25%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
74% / 26%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
17.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$170.18
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
15d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+2.76%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-2.93%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-2.93%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-2.93%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

XOP is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -13 days and downside pressure is still intensifying. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $183.63 and GD50 at $184.22.

XOP Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $188.24  ·  ATR14: $2.44

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

XOP is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -13 days and downside pressure is still intensifying. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $183.63 and GD50 at $184.22.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -13d Strength: -0.19 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 3.8 – Weak ADX38: 17.1
Volatility (HV30) 24.5% – Calm HV90: 27.9% | HV180: 30.1%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance 0.51 ATR ↓ EMA21: $183.63
GD200 Extension 5.9 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.2 | GD50: 0.9 | GD100: 3.3
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -13 days and still building (-0.19). Selling pressure is not easing.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 3.8 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 17.1. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 24.5% | HV90: 27.9% | HV180: 30.1%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $184.22 above GD200 $164.59 by 11.92%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is 0.51 ATR from the EMA21 ($183.63) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $187.27 (0.2 ATR) | GD50: $184.22 (0.9 ATR) | GD100: $174.34 (3.3 ATR) | GD200: $164.59 (5.9 ATR). ATR14: $2.44.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -8.53 -0.29 1.27 3.12 -10.21 -0.99 5.35 -7.78 6.24 2.65 8.50 6.93 22.81
2011 6.48 7.64 8.07 -1.58 -2.78 -0.10 4.27 -14.00 -18.84 34.66 6.14 -3.62 -0.09
2012 -0.13 8.68 -5.52 -2.56 -15.90 11.10 1.20 2.78 5.92 -4.29 -2.44 3.31 0.14
2013 5.12 -1.21 4.79 -4.10 7.64 -4.19 6.36 -3.31 5.28 3.60 -1.99 1.16 25.15
2014 -2.02 8.82 3.66 7.43 0.35 8.23 -8.27 7.17 -11.08 -8.93 -14.27 -4.07 -27.93
2015 -4.49 3.95 3.78 9.80 -9.53 -4.76 -15.12 2.94 -8.80 11.34 -2.27 -18.87 -36.43
2016 -6.19 -10.61 20.77 19.74 0.14 -2.85 -3.25 12.30 5.14 -8.28 18.28 -1.32 37.62
2017 -4.59 -4.83 -3.54 -6.27 -6.65 -3.07 -0.28 -6.57 11.61 -0.03 1.20 2.25 -10.74
2018 -3.43 -10.87 5.66 15.71 7.78 2.34 1.85 0.00 T
3.57
-17.54 -10.80 -21.47 -30.05
2019 T
11.90
-3.00 1.34 -0.71 -14.49 5.78 -7.98 -8.10 T
6.04
-1.99 T
-6.82
T
16.86
-11.96
2020 -19.02 -18.33 -45.85 T
75.15
3.74 -1.72 1.40 T
-0.92
-17.32 -0.22 T
28.23
9.30 -36.29
2021 8.95 22.72 -1.32 -6.27 T
7.40
2.35 -16.35 1.85 T
18.38
7.18 -11.12 3.03 65.23
2022 T
6.16
5.23 13.26 -4.82 T
17.14
-24.73 13.32 T
7.97
-9.59 T
13.95
-0.70 -8.22 38.78
2023 T
9.90
-3.43 -5.41 T
-5.06
-6.44 T
8.29
10.87 4.29 -2.91 T
1.57
-4.79 T
-1.57
15.22
2024 -3.57 T
6.20
8.89 -2.93 2.65 -1.46 0.36 -1.73 -2.14 T
-2.24
T
12.48
-7.97 -4.04
2025 T
-0.49
-2.24 T
5.73
-16.41 T
6.08
3.86 1.00 T
7.53
-1.76 -5.70 T
4.98
-6.53 -6.35
2026 T
8.75
13.23 13.96 1.92 T
-7.18
-8.11 T
15.38
8.42 -6.95 2.14 45.97

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

XOP - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange XOP Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for XOP:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
17.07.26 $170.18 15d +2.76% -2.93% -2.93% -2.93%
04.05.26 $181.01 4d -6.45% -6.45% -6.45% -6.45%
21.01.26 $134.63 59d +3.83% +9.97% +19.42% +33.95%
13.11.25 $131.92 20d -0.18% +0.83% -0.14% -0.14%
27.08.25 $131.40 16d +0.28% -0.99% -0.99% -0.99%
13.05.25 $127.35 4d -3.61% -4.84% -4.84% -4.84%
27.03.25 $131.82 9d +1.46% +1.46% +1.46% +0%
14.01.25 $142.89 12d -3.9% -3.33% -3.33% -3.33%
08.11.24 $140.03 27d +4.91% -0.44% -0.44% -0.44%
03.10.24 $139.81 9d -3.82% -2.95% -2.95% +0%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for XOP: 3.85%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 4 +11.7% +11.19% +11.04% +9.34% Close
7-10% 3 +8.27% +4.57% +3.14% +1.47% Close
5-7% 5 +6.16% +5.14% +4.38% +4.38% Close
3-5% 9 +4.23% +6.23% +8.73% +11.17% Hold
1-3% 8 +2.08% +3% +4.36% +4.38% Hold
0-1% 7 +0.28% -0.11% +2.4% +2.09% Close
-1-0% 5 -0.63% +3.03% +1.44% +10.79% Neg
-3-1% 14 -2.03% -0.89% +0.13% +0.62% Neg
-5-3% 9 -3.84% -3.3% -3.3% -2.21% Neg
-7-5% 4 -6.15% -6.15% -6.15% -3.21% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

LOW ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 3.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
25%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
74% / 26%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
4,571,910.3
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$184.00 · 2.3%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$185.00 · 1.7%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$188.24
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

XOP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

XOP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the oil and gas exploration and production segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$2.69 B
Expense Ratio0.35%
Dividend Yield2.00%
Portfolio Turnover33%
YTD Return21.74%
3-Year Return18.50%
5-Year Return20.15%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Energy 99.3%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
VG VENTURE GLOBAL INC ORDINARY SHARES CLASS A 4.48%
TPL TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP 3.73%
OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP 2.9%
PBF PBF ENERGY INC CLASS A 2.87%
APA APA CORP 2.85%
CRC CALIFORNIA RESOURCES CORP ORDINARY SHARES NEW 2.82%
VLO VALERO ENERGY CORP 2.81%
OVV OVINTIV INC 2.79%
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORP 2.78%
CVX CHEVRON CORP 2.74%

Frequently Asked Questions – State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.