How is OXY valued relative to the market?

OXY currently trades at a trailing P/E of 18.22x and a forward P/E of 15.31x. The stock has a beta of 0.16, meaning it moves roughly less than the broader market on average. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.

How profitable is OXY?

OXY reports a gross margin of 73.32%, an operating margin of 45.44%, a net profit margin of 30.32%. Return on equity stands at 10.63% and return on assets at 4.68%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.

Does OXY pay a dividend?

OXY pays an annual dividend of $1.12, representing a forward yield of 182.00%. The payout ratio is 29.50%, which indicates the share of earnings distributed to shareholders. The next scheduled dividend date is 2026-10-14. Dividend sustainability should always be evaluated alongside free cash flow trends.

What is the analyst price target for OXY?

Based on a consensus of 25 analysts, the median price target is $69.00, the most optimistic target is $79.00, the most conservative target is $55.00. At the current price of $58.21, the median target implies 18.5% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.

OXY is held by 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty. The largest allocations are in XOP (2.90%), XLE (2.26%), SPY (0.08%). Significant ETF ownership means institutional flows in and out of these funds can influence OXY's price action, particularly around rebalancing dates.

What is the current trend signal for OXY?

As of the most recent session, OXY closed at $58.21. The swing trend is negative with ADX at 0.7 (weak trend strength). Momentum is bearish and has been running for 15 days. A Golden Cross is in place. 30-day historical volatility is at 31.5%.

When was the last Trendchange signal for OXY and what is its historical edge?

The most recent Trendchange signal for OXY fired on 20.07.26 at $55.19. The position has been held for 16 trading days. 10-day return from entry: +3.41%. 20-day return: -0.18%. The historical edge of the signal system for OXY is +6.84% across 132 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the 10-15% range, averaging 12.2% at 10 days and 19% at 60 days.

OXY – Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$58.21

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▼ Short

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control

+6.84%

Signal Edge

Slim positive edge across 7 signals – treat with caution

0.7

Trend Strength (ADX)

Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable

Options Signals

23%

IV-Rank (52w)

IV in normal range – no clear vol edge

96% / 4%

Call / Put Flow

Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow

Last Trendchange Signal

20.07.26

Date

Signal entry date

$55.19

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

16d

Days Held

Trading days since signal

+3.41%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

-0.18%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

-0.18%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

-0.18%

+60d

Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

OXY is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -15 days and downside pressure is still intensifying. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $57.40 and GD50 at $58.56.

OXY Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $58.21 · ATR14: $2.69

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $57.40 and GD50 at $58.56.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▼ Short	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▼ Down · -15d	Strength: -0.18 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)	0.7 – Weak	ADX38: 4.5
Volatility (HV30)	31.5% – Calm	HV90: 33.2% \| HV180: 37.3%
Vola Compression	None	Normal range
MA Structure	Golden Cross ✓	Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance	~0 ATR – Near line	EMA21: $57.40
GD200 Extension	2.7 ATR – Normal	GD20: -0.1 \| GD50: -0.2 \| GD100: 0.9

📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying

Downward momentum active for -15 days and still building (-0.18). Selling pressure is not easing.

⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 0.7 (Weak)

Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 4.5. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.

🔻 Volatility Calm

HV30: 31.5% | HV90: 33.2% | HV180: 37.3%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.

⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish

Golden Cross in place. GD50 $58.56 above GD200 $54.30 by 7.84%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).

🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone

Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $57.40. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $58.42 (-0.1 ATR) | GD50: $58.56 (-0.2 ATR) | GD100: $56.77 (0.9 ATR) | GD200: $54.30 (2.7 ATR). ATR14: $2.69.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2010	-5.73	0.02	5.12	2.39	-8.32	-3.18	1.53	-8.86	2.40	-2.66	10.44	9.15	20.19
2011	-1.34	3.08	4.72	9.58	-6.81	0.81	-6.96	-11.29	-16.30	35.52	9.23	-2.77	-2.51
2012	3.25	5.12	-8.71	-6.43	-14.65	9.91	1.28	-3.20	4.23	-8.59	-4.87	4.89	-18.63
2013	12.93	-6.11	-4.44	13.05	5.17	-4.69	-1.07	-1.82	6.48	1.78	-0.73	1.05	25.22
2014	-6.70	10.63	-0.05	0.90	4.95	3.62	-4.96	5.96	-5.40	-5.69	-8.46	2.36	-7.72
2015	-0.82	-2.85	-5.22	7.90	-2.88	-0.47	-7.56	5.20	-4.49	12.99	0.02	-10.87	-12.70
2016	2.11	3.57	-1.81	12.40	-1.16	1.14	-1.23	4.43	-4.16	0.13	3.43	1.04	10.30
2017	-6.22	-3.05	-3.21	-3.45	-3.12	0.17	1.09	-2.96	8.81	0.72	7.70	6.04	6.93
2018	1.34	-13.80	0.15	19.48	9.94	-0.78	T 1.70	-3.36	T 4.71	-19.32	2.82	-12.93	-13.42
2019	T 7.72	-2.78	-0.82	-12.37	-13.42	3.58	T 3.19	-18.24	T 6.06	-7.47	-8.79	T 8.74	-29.00
2020	-6.72	-18.32	-63.78	T 54.63	-15.01	T 32.66	-9.57	-16.46	-19.76	-5.62	T 63.20	14.46	-58.04
2021	14.91	30.54	-3.67	-7.40	T -0.69	9.88	-20.59	-0.37	T 17.97	7.62	-14.81	0.18	66.34
2022	T 21.29	11.30	21.57	-5.21	18.90	-16.22	T 8.77	8.86	-9.97	T 13.33	-5.85	-8.26	104.49
2023	T 6.12	-7.78	4.85	T -5.60	-5.75	1.47	T 6.62	0.24	0.48	T -0.79	-3.60	T 1.50	3.27
2024	-4.13	T 5.74	5.92	-0.36	-3.03	4.06	T -3.28	-4.04	-6.97	T -5.90	2.04	-2.00	-17.72
2025	T -6.34	T 5.33	T 6.26	-19.88	0.84	1.38	T 2.52	T 9.68	-1.66	-13.66	2.64	T -2.88	-17.45
2026	T 7.10	21.19	19.90	-2.65	-3.54	-17.57	T 19.04	8.49	-9.24	0.64			37.35

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

OXY - Trendchange Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for OXY:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
20.07.26	$55.19	16d	+3.41%	-0.18%	-0.18%	-0.18%
02.01.26	$42.38	44d	+1.86%	+7.1%	+8.71%	+41.03%
03.12.25	$42.45	6d	-2.12%	-2.12%	-2.12%	+0%
20.08.25	$44.27	32d	+4.59%	+3.95%	+3.95%	+3.95%
28.07.25	$45.55	2d	-3.53%	-3.53%	+0%	+0%
31.03.25	$49.36	4d	-0.06%	-0.06%	-0.06%	-0.06%
20.02.25	$52.09	3d	-6.24%	-6.24%	-6.24%	+0%
03.01.25	$50.51	15d	+2.89%	-2.42%	-2.42%	+0%
09.10.24	$53.90	12d	+0.02%	+0.02%	+0.02%	+0.02%
01.07.24	$62.88	4d	-2.34%	-2.34%	-2.34%	-2.34%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for OXY: 6.84%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
10-15%	7	+12.19%	+16.36%	+18.38%	+18.96%	Hold
7-10%	7	+8.43%	+9.49%	+12.03%	+11.02%	Hold
5-7%	5	+5.72%	+8.77%	+12.04%	+13.63%	Hold
3-5%	13	+3.87%	+7.03%	+9.16%	+10.72%	Hold
1-3%	25	+2.08%	+1.71%	+2.71%	+3.59%	Close
0-1%	13	+0.57%	+3.11%	+4%	+4.02%	Hold
-1-0%	10	-0.53%	-0.12%	+0.66%	+1.85%	Neg
-3-1%	22	-1.94%	-0.96%	-1.02%	-0.47%	Neg
-5-3%	15	-3.74%	-3.11%	-2.74%	-1.96%	Neg
-7-5%	9	-5.59%	-4.98%	-5.5%	-3.65%	Neg
-10-7%	3	-7.79%	-5.27%	-2.37%	+0%	Neg
<-10%	3	-12.74%	-12.74%	-12.74%	-8.69%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

LOW ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 2.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

23%

IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.

Call / Put Flow

96% / 4%

More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.

GEX (Mio.)

15,416,110.3

Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.

GEX Flip Strike

$54.00 · 7.2%

The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.

Max Pain

$58.00 · 0.4%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$58.21

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

OXY GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$61.76 B
PE Ratio (TTM)	18.22
Forward PE	15.31
PEG Ratio	1.24
EV/EBITDA	5.92
Price/Sales	2.58
Price/Book	1.85
Beta	0.16

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	73.32%
Operating Margin	45.44%
Net Margin	30.32%
ROE	10.63%
ROA	4.68%

Dividends

Metric	Value
Annual Dividend	$1.12
Forward Yield	182.00%
Payout Ratio	29.50%
Dividend Date	2026-10-14

Analyst Consensus (25 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$69
High Target	$79
Low Target	$55

About Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

ETF Holdings

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
XOP	2.90%
XLE	2.26%
SPY	0.08%

Frequently Asked Questions – Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.