NKE – NIKE, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical | Footwear & Accessories | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$40.76
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+14.85%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 1 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
43.1
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
3%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
61% / 39%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
15.06.26
Date
Signal entry date
$45.20
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
4d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-2.23%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-2.23%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-2.23%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-2.23%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: -1 / 7

NKE is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest NKE Reports

Aug 22, 2026
Options Flow Analysis — Daily Reports QQQ’s Gamma Squeeze Setup: 73 Unusual Strikes in a Single Day
Aug 15, 2026
Aug 14, 2026

NKE Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $40.76  ·  ATR14: $3.03

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: -1 / 7

NKE is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -21d Strength: -0.36 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 43.1 – Strong ADX38: 5.7
Volatility (HV30) 32.6% – Rising HV90: 32.1% | HV180: 39.5%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $40.81
GD200 Extension -7.4 ATR – Normal GD20: -0.6 | GD50: -1.3 | GD100: -2.0
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -21 days and still building (-0.36). Selling pressure is not easing.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 43.1 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 5.7. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 32.6% | HV90: 32.1% | HV180: 39.5%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $42.49 below GD200 $52.61. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.
🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone
Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $40.81. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $41.49 (-0.6 ATR) | GD50: $42.49 (-1.3 ATR) | GD100: $43.43 (-2.0 ATR) | GD200: $52.61 (-7.4 ATR). ATR14: $3.03.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -2.43 5.41 8.14 2.54 -6.92 -4.72 8.24 -5.76 11.53 1.47 6.23 -2.18 32.70
2011 -4.20 6.61 -13.37 7.57 2.72 9.95 -1.80 -2.99 -1.17 16.00 2.42 1.16 13.62
2012 7.41 4.04 -0.09 2.64 -2.50 -16.05 5.06 5.04 -2.40 -4.34 2.25 6.20 8.16
2013 4.30 1.81 7.63 9.16 -2.39 1.05 0.94 -4.46 13.00 4.64 4.04 -0.27 53.82
2014 -6.91 10.83 -4.58 -1.94 5.79 1.09 -1.10 2.60 12.51 6.00 6.25 -1.31 24.37
2015 -2.92 5.96 1.61 -0.72 1.17 6.14 5.29 -2.68 13.48 5.81 0.82 -6.00 32.94
2016 0.80 -2.50 -2.05 -4.30 -7.33 0.79 -0.20 4.02 -10.06 -4.74 0.89 0.36 -16.38
2017 1.78 7.82 -3.53 -0.26 -3.65 T
12.82 		0.69 -11.45 -2.83 T
6.02 		9.71 4.45 21.94
2018 7.45 -0.92 0.49 T
6.66 		5.44 9.51 -1.84 6.26 6.43 -11.16 -1.87 T
-4.87 		18.09
2019 T
10.56 		5.18 -3.39 3.06 -9.95 7.68 0.73 1.93 T
10.92 		-2.95 T
5.10 		8.29 38.26
2020 -5.77 -9.72 -10.72 T
10.04 		15.53 -1.50 0.22 T
14.04 		9.32 -5.18 10.06 4.66 39.74
2021 -4.65 -0.48 T
-3.46 		0.07 2.79 T
14.86 		6.02 -2.21 -11.74 T
13.76 		1.75 0.16 19.85
2022 -10.08 -7.88 T
2.00 		-6.61 -5.73 -13.67 13.58 T
-6.87 		-21.73 8.52 T
16.98 		5.63 -28.18
2023 7.22 -8.27 3.71 T
4.15 		-17.72 6.85 1.17 T
-7.03 		-6.58 T
8.68 		9.31 -4.33 -2.95
2024 -4.71 2.13 -7.75 -0.32 5.21 -20.16 -2.56 T
12.82 		8.71 -13.46 0.91 T
-4.32 		-28.98
2025 T
4.38 		3.71 -19.04 -12.91 T
6.75 		15.38 1.74 3.69 -6.14 -12.95 3.16 T
-2.57 		-13.52
2026 T
-2.32 		0.00 -13.42 -0.60 T
4.12 		T
-10.62 		-3.14 -4.41 -35.59

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for NKE:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
15.06.26 $45.20 4d -2.23% -2.23% -2.23% -2.23%
27.05.26 $45.98 2d -6.52% +0% +0% +0%
07.01.26 $63.22 16d +3.46% +1.58% +3.78% -30.1%
11.12.25 $67.74 4d -3.11% -2.69% +0% +0%
16.05.25 $63.11 14d -3.99% -0.49% +12.57% +1.33%
30.01.25 $78.33 10d -4.8% +2.16% -2.46% -2.48%
12.12.24 $77.96 6d -1.36% -1.36% -1.36% +0%
11.12.24 $78.85 0d +0% +0% +0% +0%
06.12.24 $78.89 1d -1.18% +0% +0% +0%
21.08.24 $84.00 26d -3.55% -3.69% -1.07% -8.45%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for NKE: 14.85%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 1 +7.19% +12.28% +17.67% +28.29% Hold
5-7% 3 +6.19% +9.39% +11.41% +15.64% Hold
3-5% 7 +3.82% +5.19% +6.66% +1.3% Close
1-3% 2 +1.64% +3.43% +4.89% +8.82% Hold
0-1% 2 +0.73% +2.32% +5.61% +18.17% Hold
-3-1% 8 -1.66% -0.5% +0.47% +6.44% Neg
-5-3% 6 -3.89% -1.56% +1.45% -1.6% Neg
-7-5% 2 -6.39% +0.18% -0.14% -2.69% Neg
-10-7% 2 -8.01% -7.68% -7.68% +0.51% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 5.3

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
3%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
61% / 39%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
659,144.9
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$41.00 · 0.6%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$40.00 · 1.9%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$40.76
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

NKE GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

NKE GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 3% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (61% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 3% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$60.42 B
PE Ratio (TTM)19.40
Forward PE17.73
PEG Ratio1.50
EV/EBITDA12.67
Price/Sales1.30
Price/Book4.06
Beta1.12

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin43.25%
Operating Margin12.69%
Net Margin6.70%
ROE22.14%
ROA6.97%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$1.64
Forward Yield398.00%
Payout Ratio77.62%
Dividend Date2026-09-30

Analyst Consensus (34 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$47
High Target$94
Low Target$23

About NIKE, Inc.

NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and services for men, women, and kids in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company offers its products under the NIKE, Jordan, Converse, Jumpman, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. It also provides a line of performance equipment and accessories, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities; and sports apparel, as well as sells products to wholesale customers and directly to consumers through NIKE Direct operations; distributes and licenses casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories; and markets apparel with licensed college and professional team and league logos. In addition, the company offers consumer services and experiences, including sport focused events and activations; fitness and activity apps; sport, fitness, and wellness content; and digital services and features in retail stores. It sells its products to footwear stores; sporting goods stores; athletic specialty stores; department stores; skate, tennis, and golf shops; and other wholesale accounts through NIKE-owned retail stores, independent distributors, licensees, sales representatives, and digital platforms. The company was formerly known as Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc. and changed its name to NIKE, Inc. in May 1971. NIKE, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.

ETF Holdings

NIKE, Inc. is included in 4 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLY 1.60%
VCR 1.13%
DIA 0.71%
SPY 0.11%

Frequently Asked Questions – NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.