VCR – Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares
ETFConsumer Cyclical | Inception: 2004-01-26
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
VCR has just crossed the 21-day EMA at $392.47, now trading above the line. Bulls have reclaimed a key reference. Whether this becomes a sustained move or a failed breakout depends on momentum confirming in the sessions ahead.
The cross is a signal, not a confirmation. Watch for a successful retest of the EMA21 from above – that would be the higher-confidence entry.
Options Signal Highlight
Latest VCR Reports
VCR Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 21.08.2026 · Close: $397.13 · ATR14: $1.53
VCR has just crossed the 21-day EMA at $392.47, now trading above the line. Bulls have reclaimed a key reference. Whether this becomes a sustained move or a failed breakout depends on momentum confirming in the sessions ahead.
The cross is a signal, not a confirmation. Watch for a successful retest of the EMA21 from above – that would be the higher-confidence entry.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▲ Long | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▲ Up · 14d | Strength: 0.09 – Fading |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 3.1 – Weak | ADX38: 7.5 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 22.2% – Rising | HV90: 19.9% | HV180: 19.5% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Golden Cross ✓ | Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack |
| EMA21 Distance | 1.64 ATR ↑ | EMA21: $392.47 |
| GD200 Extension | 1.4 ATR – Normal | GD20: 0.5 | GD50: 0.8 | GD100: 1.2 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -3.29 | 4.77 | 6.66 | 5.52 | -9.13 | -8.58 | 7.41 | -6.75 | 8.50 | 5.22 | 3.49 | 1.43 | 28.28 |
| 2011 | -2.12 | 4.12 | 1.72 | 3.29 | -0.24 | 2.11 | -3.63 | -5.60 | -6.18 | 16.95 | 1.12 | -0.42 | 1.01 |
| 2012 | 5.52 | 4.62 | 3.26 | 0.11 | -6.30 | 4.81 | -0.56 | 5.67 | 3.22 | -0.84 | 1.41 | -0.26 | 21.65 |
| 2013 | 3.83 | 0.14 | 4.38 | 3.84 | 4.01 | 0.42 | 4.66 | -4.21 | 5.05 | 3.22 | 3.34 | 1.99 | 39.45 |
| 2014 | -5.28 | 9.57 | -1.67 | -3.07 | 1.98 | 2.26 | -2.93 | 4.70 | -3.28 | 3.96 | 5.57 | 0.75 | 8.69 |
| 2015 | -2.29 | 7.37 | -1.12 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 2.84 | -6.00 | 0.08 | 7.17 | -1.03 | -3.98 | 5.73 |
| 2016 | -4.13 | 0.47 | 3.82 | -0.50 | -1.53 | -1.45 | 3.93 | -1.22 | -0.79 | -2.45 | 6.29 | -0.33 | 6.87 |
| 2017 | 3.30 | 1.99 | 0.93 | 2.91 | 0.62 | -1.70 | 1.71 | -1.92 | 0.62 | 1.32 | 5.00 | 1.99 | 20.67 |
| 2018 | 6.92 | -2.74 | -1.55 |
T 4.95 |
2.07 | 1.84 | 1.48 | 5.67 | -0.62 | -10.09 | 0.09 |
T -11.14 |
-4.77 |
| 2019 |
T 9.28 |
2.89 | 1.71 | 3.90 | -7.02 |
T 8.33 |
0.43 | -0.27 |
T 1.57 |
T 1.51 |
1.25 |
T 3.33 |
24.96 |
| 2020 | 0.02 | -8.65 | -20.48 |
T 28.04 |
12.09 | 3.66 | 7.96 | 12.55 | -5.97 |
T -4.39 |
13.01 | 4.09 | 43.52 |
| 2021 | 4.28 | -1.79 |
T 1.49 |
5.33 | -2.61 |
T 2.88 |
-0.14 |
T 1.61 |
-3.58 |
T 8.48 |
-0.78 | 1.84 | 25.40 |
| 2022 |
T -11.71 |
-4.34 |
T 4.65 |
-11.59 | -6.71 | -10.48 |
T 16.00 |
-4.77 | -9.05 | 1.86 |
T 3.42 |
-11.14 | -37.10 |
| 2023 |
T 16.13 |
-4.09 | 3.26 | -0.10 | 1.91 | 10.57 | 2.18 | -1.00 |
T -5.89 |
-5.20 |
T 10.05 |
5.14 | 39.84 |
| 2024 | -3.11 |
T 5.86 |
0.11 | -4.69 |
T 1.59 |
2.36 | 3.17 |
T 2.16 |
8.10 | -1.64 | 11.12 | -1.13 | 24.45 |
| 2025 |
T 5.07 |
-6.66 | -6.89 |
T -1.05 |
8.65 | 1.74 | 1.51 | 7.30 | 3.54 |
T -0.81 |
-2.16 |
T 0.75 |
6.00 |
| 2026 | 1.93 | -4.39 | -5.46 |
T 8.75 |
1.88 | 0.53 |
T -1.85 |
-0.63 | 1.40 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for VCR:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.07.26 | $395.75 | 14d | -1.06% | +0.41% | -0.83% | +0% |
| 06.07.26 | $398.32 | 1d | -0.59% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
| 14.04.26 | $385.37 | 14d | +1.69% | +2.38% | +2.92% | +4.03% |
| 02.12.25 | $390.88 | 40d | +2.6% | +1.55% | +3.77% | -0.2% |
| 24.10.25 | $393.06 | 12d | -1.36% | -0.24% | +0.5% | +0% |
| 29.04.25 | $328.35 | 55d | +7.93% | +9.86% | +9.92% | +25.6% |
| 29.01.25 | $388.47 | 8d | -0.41% | -0.41% | -0.41% | -9.01% |
| 21.08.24 | $320.87 | 38d | -1.63% | +2.74% | +4.59% | +20.57% |
| 08.05.24 | $307.71 | 30d | +0.24% | -0.47% | +0.68% | +9.4% |
| 08.02.24 | $305.34 | 35d | +2.06% | +1.92% | +4.14% | +1.78% |
Signal Statistics – Historical Edge
Calculated edge for VCR: 12.14%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-10% | 1 | +7.93% | +9.86% | +9.92% | +25.6% | Hold |
| 5-7% | 2 | +6.33% | +11.65% | +12.08% | +5.95% | Close |
| 3-5% | 4 | +4.32% | +5.48% | +8.3% | +26.67% | Hold |
| 1-3% | 8 | +2.1% | +1.73% | +2.52% | +2.96% | Close |
| 0-1% | 5 | +0.44% | +0.83% | +1.65% | +4.95% | Hold |
| -1-0% | 8 | -0.46% | +0.03% | +0.78% | +4.53% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 7 | -1.86% | -0.02% | +0.72% | +4.32% | Neg |
| -7-5% | 2 | -5.76% | -5.76% | -5.24% | -6.83% | Neg |
Signal data as of August 21, 2026
Options Metrics
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →
About Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF Shares
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, an index made up of stocks of large, mid-size, and small U.S. companies within the consumer discretionary sector, as classified under the GICS. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by seeking to invest all of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, in order to hold each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index. It is non-diversified.
Fund Overview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Assets under Management | $6.68 B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.09% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.67% |
| Portfolio Turnover | 6% |
| YTD Return | -242.28% |
| 3-Year Return | 15.36% |
| 5-Year Return | 5.06% |
Sector Allocation
| Sector | Weight | |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Discretionary | 97.4% |
|
| Financials | 0.8% |
|
Top 10 Holdings
| Symbol | Company | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | AMAZON.COM INC | 23.36% |
|
| TSLA | TESLA INC | 16.56% |
|
| HD | THE HOME DEPOT INC | 5.29% |
|
| MCD | MCDONALD'S CORP | 3.67% |
|
| TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | 2.73% |
|
| LOW | LOWE'S COMPANIES INC | 2.25% |
|
| BKNG | BOOKING HOLDINGS INC | 2.08% |
|
| SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | 1.7% |
|
| RCL | ROYAL CARIBBEAN GROUP | 1.24% |
|
| ORLY | O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC | 1.23% |
|
