GOOGL – Alphabet Inc.

Communication Services | Internet Content & Information | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$350.50
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+5.88%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 2 signals – treat with caution
21.5
Trend Strength (ADX)
Moderate strength – trend forming, not confirmed
Options Signals
16%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
94% / 6%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
30.09.26
Date
Signal entry date
$344.08
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
1d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
–
+10d
Not yet reached
–
+20d
Not yet reached
–
+30d
Not yet reached
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Volatility Compression – Wait for Breakout Composite Score: +3 / 7

GOOGL has been in a volatility compression for 25 consecutive sessions. Price is coiling and the range is contracting. This kind of structure typically resolves with an expansion in one direction – and the underlying trend bias is still positive, which tilts the probability toward an upside resolution. The key question is not if the move happens, but when and which way.

What to watch

This is a waiting game. Define the breakout level in advance, set alerts at the range boundaries, and let the market make the first move.

Options Signal Highlight

GOOGL Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $350.50  ·  ATR14: $2.40

Volatility Compression – Wait for Breakout Composite Score: +3 / 7

GOOGL has been in a volatility compression for 25 consecutive sessions. Price is coiling and the range is contracting. This kind of structure typically resolves with an expansion in one direction – and the underlying trend bias is still positive, which tilts the probability toward an upside resolution. The key question is not if the move happens, but when and which way.

What to watch

This is a waiting game. Define the breakout level in advance, set alerts at the range boundaries, and let the market make the first move.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 17d Strength: 0.08 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 21.5 – Moderate ADX38: 17.0
Volatility (HV30) 24.1% – Calm HV90: 33.9% | HV180: 32.5%
Vola Compression 25 days active Potential breakout building
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance 0.73 ATR ↑ EMA21: $340.93
GD200 Extension 1.3 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.7 | GD50: 0.6 | GD100: -0.4
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 17 days but strength is declining (0.08). The trend is intact but losing energy.
🟡 Trend Strength – ADX14: 21.5 (Moderate)
Moderate trend strength. ADX38: 17.0. Sufficient for directional bias but not ideal for aggressive sizing.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 24.1% | HV90: 33.9% | HV180: 32.5%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
🗜️ Volatility Compression – 25 Days Active
Price has been compressing for 25 sessions. The longer the compression, the more powerful the potential breakout.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $345.66 above GD200 $339.61 by 1.78%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($340.93) with 0.73 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $344.48 (0.7 ATR) | GD50: $345.66 (0.6 ATR) | GD100: $353.75 (-0.4 ATR) | GD200: $339.61 (1.3 ATR). ATR14: $2.40.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -15.45 -1.17 6.46 -7.58 -8.48 -7.76 10.32 -8.24 14.22 16.76 -9.64 5.25 -5.23
2011 -0.66 0.39 -2.33 -8.06 -1.77 -3.66 15.86 -10.85 -3.28 19.60 3.58 5.24 6.88
2012 -12.82 6.44 3.03 -6.50 -3.90 1.59 9.04 8.28 10.79 -10.70 1.57 1.74 6.31
2013 4.49 3.30 -1.49 2.92 6.19 1.47 -0.01 -6.34 1.81 16.19 3.17 6.28 54.96
2014 6.10 7.25 -7.33 -5.83 6.15 3.60 -2.02 1.53 -0.04 -2.03 -2.61 -1.67 -4.75
2015 1.51 5.72 -3.53 -0.13 -1.06 -1.67 21.02 -2.54 1.40 14.86 2.02 -0.74 46.92
2016 0.25 -6.95 2.79 -8.03 4.82 -6.00 11.42 -1.38 1.60 1.19 -3.67 3.68 4.35
2017 1.51 3.64 -1.04 7.91 5.82 -5.93 2.83 0.92 2.28 6.78 -0.62 2.76 30.37
2018 10.16 T
-6.57
T
-3.20
0.59 T
5.69
-0.51 7.45 -0.10 -0.35 -9.76 2.18 T
-6.40
-2.63
2019 T
6.75
0.71 2.47 0.00 -5.69 4.24 T
10.75
-1.75 T
4.41
4.38 2.50 3.92 26.99
2020 4.68 -9.67 -16.18 T
22.19
8.82 -1.17 3.19 9.90 -11.45 T
8.62
8.01 -2.38 28.05
2021 T
5.86
6.81 -0.34 T
10.50
0.59 2.55 10.03 7.30 -7.95 T
8.42
-1.11 T
2.69
67.83
2022 -6.68 T
-1.88
T
3.73
-18.58 -2.42 -4.33 6.97 T
-5.78
-12.84 -4.19 T
11.63
-12.63 -39.15
2023 T
10.91
-10.33 T
14.80
2.86 14.62 -3.25 T
10.69
3.51 -3.54 T
-7.52
T
4.81
5.94 56.74
2024 1.40 -1.91 T
10.06
4.69 5.27 5.19 -6.26 -4.32 T
5.40
2.47 -1.37 10.39 37.01
2025 7.70 -15.38 -7.41 1.10 T
6.47
4.26 9.13 12.57 15.02 14.82 12.85 -0.60 65.23
2026 7.25 -9.29 -6.19 T
29.39
-1.39 -5.05 -1.41 T
-9.15
T
2.70
3.62 11.22

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

GOOGL - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange GOOGL Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for GOOGL:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
30.09.26 $344.08 1d +0% +0% +0% +0%
03.08.26 $373.51 6d -7.39% -7.9% -7.9% +0%
08.04.26 $317.32 45d +4.72% +22.41% +22.17% +22.95%
14.05.25 $165.37 33d +4.23% +7.24% +4.81% +4.81%
02.05.25 $164.03 2d -6.88% +0% +0% +0%
25.09.24 $161.49 24d +1.79% +2.26% +2.26% +2.26%
20.03.24 $148.74 39d +4.15% +4.52% +10.17% +21.7%
15.11.23 $134.62 16d +0.27% -2.05% -2.05% -2.05%
06.10.23 $137.58 9d +0.12% +0.89% +0.89% +0%
26.07.23 $129.27 16d +1.65% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for GOOGL: 5.88%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 2 +13.13% +15.08% +13.66% +13.66% Hold
7-10% 7 +8.23% +8.64% +13.54% +12.21% Hold
5-7% 5 +6.24% +6.23% +8.88% +9.46% Close
3-5% 9 +3.91% +8.68% +9.95% +11.44% Hold
1-3% 10 +1.86% +4.44% +4.38% +6.78% Close
0-1% 9 +0.4% +3.29% +2.63% +3.49% Close
-1-0% 4 -0.67% +0.2% +3.21% +1.59% Neg
-3-1% 15 -2.09% -1.34% -1.37% -1.34% Neg
-5-3% 4 -4.29% -4.29% -3.12% -3.12% Neg
-7-5% 1 -6.88% +0% +0% +0% Neg
-10-7% 2 -7.54% -7.42% -7.42% +0% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 3% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 20.6

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
16%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
94% / 6%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
264,929,635.4
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$342.50 · 2.3%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$342.50 · 2.3%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$350.50
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

GOOGL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

GOOGL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 16% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (94% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 16% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$4.27 T
PE Ratio (TTM)17.52
Forward PE23.49
PEG Ratio1.21
EV/EBITDA24.08
Price/Sales9.58
Price/Book6.86
Beta1.23

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin60.90%
Operating Margin34.03%
Net Margin54.77%
ROE48.68%
ROA12.96%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$0.88
Forward Yield26.00%
Payout Ratio4.26%
Dividend Date2026-09-13

Analyst Consensus (54 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$429
High Target$515
Low Target$340

About Alphabet Inc.

Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

ETF Holdings

Alphabet Inc. is included in 5 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLC 10.61%
CHAT 6.80%
QQQ 3.42%
SPY 3.00%
DRIV 2.87%

Frequently Asked Questions – Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.