QQQ – Invesco QQQ Trust
ETFLarge Growth | Inception: 1999-03-10
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
QQQ has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 13 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 10.8 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $670.87. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.
A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.
Options Signal Highlight
QQQ Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $757.73 · ATR14: $1.20
QQQ has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 13 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 10.8 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $670.87. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.
A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▲ Long | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▲ Up · 13d | Strength: 0.46 – Fading |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 38.7 – Strong | ADX38: 5.4 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 14.4% – Calm | HV90: 22.9% | HV180: 20.8% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Golden Cross ✓ | Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack |
| EMA21 Distance | 2.26 ATR ↓ | EMA21: $733.53 |
| GD200 Extension | 10.8 ATR – Exhausted | GD20: 2.7 | GD50: 4.2 | GD100: 4.5 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -7.82 | 3.47 | 6.06 | 2.24 | -8.67 | -5.47 | 7.56 | -6.88 | 9.63 | 6.47 | -0.25 | 2.39 | 17.32 |
| 2011 | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.04 | 2.82 | -1.03 | -0.07 | 0.16 | -4.62 | -3.79 | 13.32 | -0.09 | -1.67 | 0.94 |
| 2012 | 6.38 | 5.56 | 4.05 | -2.18 | -7.19 | 6.21 | 0.70 | 5.49 | 0.70 | -5.14 | -0.11 | -0.82 | 14.46 |
| 2013 | -0.49 | -0.83 | 2.36 | 3.24 | 4.06 | -2.88 | 5.66 | -1.40 | 3.93 | 3.90 | 3.53 | 2.90 | 30.89 |
| 2014 | -1.15 | 7.18 | -2.23 | -2.04 | 4.18 | 2.95 | 0.08 | 5.40 | -1.28 | 4.31 | 4.24 | -1.49 | 18.31 |
| 2015 | -1.79 | 6.30 | -3.46 | 2.46 | 0.92 | -3.03 | 3.73 | -6.53 | 0.70 | 10.87 | -0.51 | -2.87 | 8.67 |
| 2016 | -4.90 | -1.83 | 3.22 | -4.20 | 3.39 | -2.55 |
T 6.62 |
0.52 | 1.70 | -1.32 |
T 1.20 |
2.61 | 8.20 |
| 2017 | 4.21 | 3.66 | 0.72 | 2.79 | 2.98 | -2.96 |
T 5.17 |
1.84 | -0.38 | 4.51 | 2.01 | 0.82 | 30.30 |
| 2018 | 6.88 |
T -0.45 |
-2.64 | 3.49 |
T 4.48 |
-0.63 | 2.11 | 5.38 | -0.03 | -8.78 | -1.56 | -10.49 | -2.67 |
| 2019 |
T 8.57 |
3.43 | 3.02 | 4.12 | -7.93 |
T 9.77 |
0.97 | -1.41 |
T 1.70 |
5.24 | 3.13 | 4.73 | 37.27 |
| 2020 | 1.35 | -7.46 | -12.02 |
T 20.08 |
9.69 | 5.78 | 6.11 | 9.47 | -7.36 |
T -4.56 |
10.98 | 3.39 | 45.14 |
| 2021 | 1.70 | -2.57 | -1.38 |
T 4.13 |
T -0.67 |
6.49 | 2.82 | 4.21 | -5.94 |
T 7.20 |
1.65 |
T 2.77 |
28.63 |
| 2022 | -9.62 | -5.12 |
T 6.16 |
-13.43 | -3.20 | -8.41 |
T 11.81 |
-5.08 | -10.73 | 1.62 |
T 6.63 |
-9.34 | -33.71 |
| 2023 |
T 11.40 |
-2.45 |
T 10.21 |
0.75 | 8.01 | 4.95 | 3.62 | -1.25 |
T -5.12 |
T -2.88 |
T 8.93 |
5.02 | 54.84 |
| 2024 | 3.57 | 4.06 | -0.36 | -4.58 |
T 6.92 |
5.73 | -2.25 |
T 3.61 |
5.69 | 0.54 | 4.58 | -0.79 | 26.99 |
| 2025 |
T 2.36 |
-1.92 | -5.66 |
T 0.59 |
7.77 | 5.43 | 3.29 | 2.98 | 6.14 | 4.28 | -2.03 |
T -0.46 |
20.40 |
| 2026 | 1.43 | -3.01 | -5.08 |
T 14.28 |
9.52 | -0.85 | -5.13 |
T 2.38 |
4.54 | 2.12 | 23.59 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
QQQ - Trendchange Chart
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for QQQ:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.08.26 | $720.87 | 9d | -1.03% | -1.41% | -1.41% | +0% |
| 08.04.26 | $606.09 | 65d | +6.31% | +12.46% | +15.75% | +16.33% |
| 03.12.25 | $623.52 | 12d | -1.89% | -3.71% | -3.71% | -3.71% |
| 29.04.25 | $475.53 | 62d | +6.8% | +9.61% | +12.34% | +19% |
| 29.01.25 | $520.83 | 8d | +0.43% | +0.43% | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 24.01.25 | $529.63 | 1d | +0% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
| 21.08.24 | $482.50 | 4d | -4.54% | -4.45% | -4.45% | -4.45% |
| 06.05.24 | $440.25 | 61d | +2.61% | +2.93% | +10.18% | +9.43% |
| 07.11.23 | $372.70 | 48d | +4.84% | +3.91% | +9.78% | +6.88% |
| 17.10.23 | $368.20 | 2d | +0% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
Signal Statistics - Historical Edge
Calculated edge for QQQ: -1.05%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15% | 2 | +10.23% | +14.59% | +15.64% | +19.26% | Hold |
| 7-10% | 1 | +7.94% | +9.16% | +21.11% | +14.5% | Hold |
| 5-7% | 6 | +5.78% | +8.24% | +7.46% | +8.08% | Close |
| 3-5% | 15 | +4.08% | +5.18% | +7.02% | +6.97% | Close |
| 1-3% | 14 | +2.23% | +2.93% | +3.99% | +4.07% | Hold |
| 0-1% | 9 | +0.48% | +2.27% | +2.92% | +5.8% | Hold |
| -1-0% | 8 | -0.42% | -0.24% | -0.15% | -0.19% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 16 | -1.81% | -1.57% | -1.26% | -0.77% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 8 | -4.07% | -4.54% | -4.04% | -3.49% | Neg |
| -7-5% | 2 | -5.79% | -4.29% | -4.29% | -4.29% | Neg |
| -10-7% | 2 | -8.2% | -8.2% | -8.2% | -8.2% | Neg |
Signal data as of October 7, 2026
Options Metrics
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →
About Invesco QQQ Trust
To maintain the correspondence between the composition and weights of the securities in the trust (the "securities") and the stocks in the NASDAQ-100 Index®, the adviser adjusts the securities from time to time to conform to periodic changes in the identity and/or relative weights of index securities. The composition and weighting of the securities portion of a portfolio deposit are also adjusted to conform to changes in the index.
Fund Overview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Assets under Management | $395.03 B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.18% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
| Portfolio Turnover | 0% |
| YTD Return | -108.60% |
| 3-Year Return | 22.82% |
| 5-Year Return | 13.15% |
Sector Allocation
| Sector | Weight | |
|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 49.2% |
|
| Communication Services | 15.9% |
|
| Consumer Discretionary | 11.7% |
|
| Consumer Staples | 8% |
|
| Healthcare | 5% |
|
| Industrials | 3.6% |
|
| Utilities | 1.5% |
|
| Materials | 1.2% |
|
| Energy | 0.7% |
|
| Financials | 0.2% |
|
Top 10 Holdings
| Symbol | Company | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA CORP | 8.61% |
|
| AAPL | APPLE INC | 7.47% |
|
| MSFT | MICROSOFT CORP | 5.6% |
|
| AMZN | AMAZON.COM INC | 4.5% |
|
| TSLA | TESLA INC | 3.87% |
|
| META | META PLATFORMS INC CLASS A | 3.54% |
|
| GOOGL | ALPHABET INC CLASS A | 3.42% |
|
| WMT | WALMART INC | 3.33% |
|
| GOOG | ALPHABET INC CLASS C | 3.18% |
|
| AVGO | BROADCOM INC | 3.05% |
|
