How is COP valued relative to the market?

COP currently trades at a trailing P/E of 18.10x and a forward P/E of 14.10x. The stock has a beta of 0.13, meaning it moves roughly less than the broader market on average. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.

How profitable is COP?

COP reports a gross margin of 47.57%, an operating margin of 31.51%, a net profit margin of 14.40%. Return on equity stands at 14.18% and return on assets at 7.53%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.

Does COP pay a dividend?

COP pays an annual dividend of $3.36, representing a forward yield of 2.45%. The payout ratio is 43.65%, which indicates the share of earnings distributed to shareholders. The most recent dividend date was 2026-08-31. Dividend sustainability should always be evaluated alongside free cash flow trends.

What is the analyst price target for COP?

Based on a consensus of 25 analysts, the median price target is $146.00, the most optimistic target is $189.00, the most conservative target is $126.00. At the current price of $129.84, the median target implies 12.4% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.

COP is held by 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty. The largest allocations are in XLE (7.07%), XOP (2.66%), SPY (0.28%). Significant ETF ownership means institutional flows in and out of these funds can influence COP's price action, particularly around rebalancing dates.

What is the current trend signal for COP?

As of the most recent session, COP closed at $129.84. The swing trend is negative with ADX at 10.7 (weak trend strength). Momentum is bearish and has been running for 15 days. A Golden Cross is in place. 30-day historical volatility is at 29.6%.

When was the last Trendchange signal for COP and what is its historical edge?

The most recent Trendchange signal for COP fired on 20.07.26 at $115.68. The position has been held for 45 trading days. 10-day return from entry: +4.15%. 20-day return: +9.60%. The historical edge of the signal system for COP is +4.33% across 123 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the >20% range, averaging 20.2% at 10 days and 18.1% at 60 days.

COP – ConocoPhillips

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$129.84

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▼ Short

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control

+4.33%

Signal Edge

Slim positive edge across 1 signals – treat with caution

10.7

Trend Strength (ADX)

Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable

Options Signals

21%

IV-Rank (52w)

IV in normal range – no clear vol edge

55% / 45%

Call / Put Flow

Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced

Last Trendchange Signal

20.07.26

Date

Signal entry date

$115.68

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

45d

Days Held

Trading days since signal

+4.15%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

+9.6%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

+12.68%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

+14.57%

+60d

Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

COP is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

COP Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $129.84 · ATR14: $2.45

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

COP is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▼ Short	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▼ Down · -15d	Strength: -0.35 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)	10.7 – Weak	ADX38: 7.6
Volatility (HV30)	29.6% – Calm	HV90: 30.7% \| HV180: 30.7%
Vola Compression	None	Normal range
MA Structure	Golden Cross ✓	Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance	~0 ATR – Near line	EMA21: $127.67
GD200 Extension	4.5 ATR – Normal	GD20: -0.1 \| GD50: 0.3 \| GD100: 2.9

📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying

Downward momentum active for -15 days and still building (-0.35). Selling pressure is not easing.

⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 10.7 (Weak)

Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 7.6. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.

🔻 Volatility Calm

HV30: 29.6% | HV90: 30.7% | HV180: 30.7%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.

⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish

Golden Cross in place. GD50 $128.76 above GD200 $117.08 by 9.97%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.

🎯 EMA21 – Bounce Confirmed

Price touched the EMA21 at $127.67 and is pulling away with rising distance. Classic continuation setup.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $130.27 (-0.1 ATR) | GD50: $128.76 (0.3 ATR) | GD100: $121.33 (2.9 ATR) | GD200: $117.08 (4.5 ATR). ATR14: $2.45.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2010	-8.71	-1.21	4.63	13.76	-12.26	-2.45	14.13	-8.88	6.24	3.57	2.09	9.06	34.74
2011	4.74	9.54	2.61	-0.99	-4.62	3.94	-4.27	-5.44	-6.84	15.31	5.00	1.54	10.77
2012	-8.04	11.41	-2.82	-6.84	-6.52	9.15	-1.16	2.83	1.73	1.93	-2.54	1.43	7.29
2013	-2.04	-0.37	3.12	-0.05	3.29	-2.56	7.07	0.32	4.08	5.75	-0.39	-2.63	24.46
2014	-6.92	5.24	6.08	5.67	7.51	7.86	-3.38	0.64	-4.62	-2.86	-6.37	1.92	2.78
2015	-8.61	0.22	-3.31	7.77	-4.50	-3.45	-15.02	-1.14	0.46	12.27	-1.61	-14.51	-28.87
2016	-16.64	-11.69	16.87	20.14	-5.99	-1.07	-5.64	3.63	7.06	0.64	11.45	3.99	9.68
2017	-3.67	-1.39	1.67	-3.12	-5.36	-2.02	-0.03	-2.45	13.14	2.23	-2.34	6.09	10.89
2018	6.33	-7.99	T 10.02	12.76	2.98	1.96	T 5.65	2.24	5.88	-12.15	-4.89	-9.78	14.74
2019	T 6.81	-0.76	-3.18	-6.76	-5.46	T 2.65	-4.62	-11.25	T 9.50	0.86	T 4.88	7.71	4.90
2020	-9.21	-17.59	-37.43	T 42.17	8.85	-3.16	-7.27	T 3.20	-11.61	-10.69	T 30.85	1.83	-36.45
2021	1.15	28.94	0.68	-5.32	T 6.50	4.51	-10.15	0.27	T 24.01	6.90	-5.98	4.60	88.59
2022	T 20.13	4.15	3.43	-5.04	T 17.67	-21.81	7.10	T 15.61	-3.46	14.67	-2.97	-3.52	67.99
2023	T 7.74	-11.80	-6.04	T -5.10	4.40	4.76	13.02	1.41	-1.43	T 1.45	-0.94	T 0.73	13.15
2024	-4.86	1.04	T 11.41	-2.38	-6.32	0.45	T -2.76	T 4.98	-4.16	T 0.16	T 0.46	-6.57	-15.66
2025	T -1.25	0.68	T 13.38	-15.44	-5.85	T 3.48	3.64	6.69	T -4.44	-6.91	0.14	T 3.71	-6.46
2026	7.79	11.46	11.64	-2.03	T -7.48	-10.05	T 16.72	11.19	-8.11	2.19			34.27

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

COP - Trendchange Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for COP:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
20.07.26	$115.68	45d	+4.15%	+9.6%	+12.68%	+14.57%
04.05.26	$124.91	4d	-1.27%	-1.27%	-1.27%	-1.27%
03.12.25	$91.81	16d	-1.13%	-0.01%	-0.01%	-0.01%
26.09.25	$98.48	4d	-5.18%	-5.18%	-5.18%	-5.18%
12.06.25	$94.69	8d	-4.01%	-4.77%	-4.77%	-4.77%
18.03.25	$100.53	30d	+4.47%	-5.25%	-5.25%	-5.25%
17.01.25	$105.85	4d	-4.05%	-4.05%	-4.05%	-4.05%
06.11.24	$113.63	8d	-0.48%	-6.63%	-6.63%	-6.63%
04.10.24	$114.54	6d	-8.15%	-8.15%	-8.15%	+0%
26.08.24	$113.56	6d	-5.38%	-5.38%	-5.38%	+0%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for COP: 4.33%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
>20%	1	+20.18%	+20.11%	+18.09%	+18.09%	Hold
15-20%	1	+17.58%	+20.13%	+24.73%	+22.1%	Hold
10-15%	3	+11.52%	+12.24%	+20.23%	+14.79%	Hold
7-10%	6	+8.73%	+10.69%	+13.7%	+12.91%	Hold
5-7%	8	+5.8%	+8.32%	+7.43%	+7.26%	Close
3-5%	14	+4.29%	+6.62%	+7.5%	+7.67%	Hold
1-3%	21	+2.25%	+3.49%	+4.6%	+5.18%	Hold
0-1%	8	+0.63%	+0.21%	+0.09%	+0.52%	Close
-1-0%	13	-0.53%	-0.18%	-0.51%	-0.6%	Neg
-3-1%	18	-1.91%	-1.37%	-1.94%	-0.57%	Neg
-5-3%	19	-4.1%	-4.05%	-3.87%	-2.48%	Neg
-7-5%	8	-5.54%	-5.83%	-5.16%	-4.49%	Neg
-10-7%	3	-7.93%	-7.93%	-7.93%	-2.68%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

LOW ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 3.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

21%

IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.

Call / Put Flow

55% / 45%

Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.

GEX (Mio.)

1,941,483.7

Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.

GEX Flip Strike

$126.00 · 3%

The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.

Max Pain

$129.00 · 0.6%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$129.84

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

COP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$164.19 B
PE Ratio (TTM)	18.10
Forward PE	14.10
PEG Ratio	1.24
EV/EBITDA	6.71
Price/Sales	2.55
Price/Book	2.51
Beta	0.13

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	47.57%
Operating Margin	31.51%
Net Margin	14.40%
ROE	14.18%
ROA	7.53%

Dividends

Metric	Value
Annual Dividend	$3.36
Forward Yield	245.00%
Payout Ratio	43.65%
Dividend Date	2026-08-31

Analyst Consensus (25 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$146
High Target	$189
Low Target	$126

About ConocoPhillips

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. It operates in five segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; and Asia Pacific. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects. It serves in the United States, Canada, China, Equatorial Guinea, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

ETF Holdings

ConocoPhillips is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
XLE	7.07%
XOP	2.66%
SPY	0.28%

Frequently Asked Questions – ConocoPhillips (COP)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.