AVGO – Broadcom Inc.

Technology | Semiconductors | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$368.45
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+27.83%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 2 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
21.5
Trend Strength (ADX)
Moderate strength – trend forming, not confirmed
Options Signals
0%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
61% / 39%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
04.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$418.16
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
4d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-6.15%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -3 / 7

AVGO is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -4 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $386.01 and GD50 at $388.50.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest AVGO Reports

Aug 18, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges AVGO Signal Follow-Up 10 Days – +14.71% Review
Apr 22, 2026

AVGO Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $368.45  ·  ATR14: $4.15

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -3 / 7

AVGO is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -4 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $386.01 and GD50 at $388.50.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -4d Strength: -1.06 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 21.5 – Moderate ADX38: 9.4
Volatility (HV30) 43.0% – Calm HV90: 51.1% | HV180: 48.1%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance -5.47 ATR ↓ EMA21: $386.01
GD200 Extension 0.0 ATR – Normal GD20: -1.7 | GD50: -1.2 | GD100: -1.7
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -4 days but strength is decreasing (-1.06). The move may be exhausting.
🟡 Trend Strength – ADX14: 21.5 (Moderate)
Moderate trend strength. ADX38: 9.4. Sufficient for directional bias but not ideal for aggressive sizing.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 43.0% | HV90: 51.1% | HV180: 48.1%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $388.50 above GD200 $369.20 by 5.23%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -5.47 ATR from the EMA21 ($386.01) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $396.06 (-1.7 ATR) | GD50: $388.50 (-1.2 ATR) | GD100: $396.03 (-1.7 ATR) | GD200: $369.20 (0.0 ATR). ATR14: $4.15.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -7.52 3.23 12.40 0.00 -2.01 3.47 1.99 -7.79 7.43 8.75 9.52 5.79 51.13
2011 3.05 16.99 -2.64 5.80 2.13 12.50 -13.09 0.00 4.00 5.70 -9.36 -2.82 5.08
2012 17.39 8.47 4.87 -10.79 -4.03 16.14 3.91 -0.38 -2.32 -4.76 2.00 -8.70 11.59
2013 10.13 -5.68 6.91 -9.65 20.43 1.10 -2.53 2.90 12.72 4.66 0.00 17.96 66.24
2014 3.83 15.87 4.78 -2.46 11.37 0.93 -6.29 16.64 2.66 0.78 8.14 10.93 94.13
2015 2.91 24.65 -1.23 -7.02 20.60 -9.07 -7.57 0.10 5.06 0.75 5.40 9.56 46.90
2016 -6.06 -2.75 11.98 -7.67 5.61 0.76 5.05 7.94 -2.27 0.15 1.00 9.21 26.15
2017 11.82 3.54 2.21 0.94 8.21 -0.22 T
7.38
1.44 T
-3.68
T
9.77
7.20 -4.77 46.86
2018 -7.09 T
3.22
T
-1.71
0.76 T
9.44
-4.07 -8.36 1.02 T
13.30
-10.44 3.28 6.19 -0.28
2019 5.85 3.21 11.22 4.14 -21.12 T
14.81
-3.46 -0.95 T
1.68
T
6.57
6.60 2.75 29.47
2020 T
-5.36
-10.68 -15.39 T
21.48
12.12 9.95 1.26 8.05 2.26 -5.13 14.34 9.13 41.99
2021 5.92 0.67 T
-4.55
-4.14 T
4.94
2.61 3.37 2.59 -0.95 T
9.10
4.85 20.72 61.13
2022 -11.66 -0.89 11.21 -11.57 0.67 -14.61 12.06 T
-6.95
-9.00 2.93 T
17.77
2.37 -13.00
2023 5.70 2.93 T
8.08
-2.49 T
26.65
9.81 2.53 T
0.31
-4.81 T
0.77
8.53 20.03 110.53
2024 8.72 8.37 -5.27 T
-3.70
T
6.89
21.46 -2.07 T
10.75
12.90 1.37 -4.05 T
39.23
113.60
2025 -4.62 T
-8.40
-10.64 T
14.21
22.67 10.83 10.94 3.03 10.62 10.87 11.15 -10.36 49.19
2026 -4.69 -3.49 T
-2.92
T
33.16
6.05 -17.88 5.40 T
-6.06
5.99

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for AVGO:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
04.08.26 $418.16 4d -6.15% +0% +0% +0%
08.04.26 $350.63 48d +14.7% +21.88% +19.99% +11.92%
10.03.26 $342.58 2d -6.21% -6.21% +0% +0%
23.04.25 $176.91 89d +13.1% +30.96% +47.58% +118.04%
12.02.25 $236.35 4d -7.48% -7.48% -7.48% -2.46%
10.12.24 $171.81 16d +35.24% +33.47% +42.42% +27.27%
19.08.24 $167.71 18d -2.92% -2.2% +2.86% +45.91%
09.05.24 $130.57 32d +6.63% +7.32% +27.03% +31.65%
03.04.24 $136.32 6d -2.51% -2.51% +1.23% +0%
12.10.23 $90.56 44d -6.18% +0.61% +7.33% +83.15%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for AVGO: 27.83%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 2 +31.13% +33.58% +37.51% +32.75% Hold
10-15% 3 +12.97% +22.52% +28.04% +49.72% Hold
7-10% 2 +7.19% +11.83% +13.07% +42.58% Hold
5-7% 2 +5.93% +8.84% +19.03% +20.18% Hold
3-5% 4 +3.95% +3.83% +3.77% +12.14% Hold
1-3% 2 +1.9% +3.74% +9.17% +23.8% Hold
0-1% 4 +0.48% +2.17% +4.63% +23.13% Hold
-1-0% 2 -0.65% +2.85% +2.93% +45.76% Neg
-3-1% 6 -1.85% -0.37% +1.49% +5.57% Neg
-5-3% 2 -4.7% -0.74% -1.31% +3.04% Neg
-7-5% 4 -6.36% -3.13% +1.36% +20.79% Neg
-10-7% 1 -7.48% -7.48% -7.48% -2.46% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 20.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
0%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
61% / 39%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-5,582,533.7
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$362.50 · 1.6%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$375.00 · 1.8%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$368.45
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

AVGO GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

AVGO GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 0% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (61% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 0% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$1.87 T
PE Ratio (TTM)69.43
Forward PE20.12
PEG Ratio0.47
EV/EBITDA45.50
Price/Sales24.78
Price/Book21.32
Beta1.47

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin76.28%
Operating Margin48.99%
Net Margin38.85%
ROE37.28%
ROA12.12%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$2.6
Forward Yield62.00%
Payout Ratio41.26%
Dividend Date2026-06-29

Analyst Consensus (45 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$530
High Target$675
Low Target$215.88

About Broadcom Inc.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices and infrastructure software solutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The company offers networking connectivity, such as custom silicon solutions, ethernet switching & routing, ethernet NIC controllers, physical layer devices, and fiber optic components; wireless device connectivity, including RF semiconductor devices, connectivity solutions, custom touch controllers, and inductive charging ASICS; servers and storage system solutions, such as PCIE switches, SAS & raid products, fibre channel products, and HDD & SSD solutions; broadband solutions, includes set-top box, and broadband access; and industrial. The company also offers a private cloud software portfolio, including the VMware Cloud Foundation, Edge, vSphere foundation, telco cloud platform, private AI, live recovery, application networking and security, application development and data services; mainframe software, such as AIOPS & automation, database & data management, DEVX & DEVOPS, cybersecurity & compliance management, beyond code programs, foundational & open mainframe solutions; cybersecurity, such as endpoint, network, information, application security, and identity & access management; enterprise software; and fc san management. Its products are used in various applications in enterprise and data center networking, including artificial intelligence networking and connectivity, home connectivity, set-top boxes, broadband access, telecommunication equipment, wireless device and base stations, data center servers and storage systems, factory automation, power generation and alternative energy systems, and electronic displays. Broadcom Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

ETF Holdings

Broadcom Inc. is included in 7 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
SMH 7.10%
XLK 5.22%
ARTY 3.70%
CHAT 3.11%
QQQ 3.05%
SPY 2.68%
BLOK 1.33%

Frequently Asked Questions – Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.