AMD – Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

Technology | Semiconductors | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$645.86
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+20.07%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 9 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
44.9
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
15%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
80% / 20%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
11.09.26
Date
Signal entry date
$516.13
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
15d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+21.92%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+25.14%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
–
+30d
Not yet reached
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Extended – Protect Gains Composite Score: +1 / 7

AMD has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 21 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 19.1 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $381.32. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.

What to watch

A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.

Options Signal Highlight

AMD Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $645.86  ·  ATR14: $3.63

Trend Extended – Protect Gains Composite Score: +1 / 7

AMD has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 21 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 19.1 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $381.32. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.

What to watch

A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 21d Strength: 1.11 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 44.9 – Strong ADX38: 29.6
Volatility (HV30) 49.1% – Calm HV90: 69.8% | HV180: 71.9%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance 2.56 ATR ↓ EMA21: $578.27
GD200 Extension 19.1 ATR – Exhausted GD20: 2.7 | GD50: 6.5 | GD100: 6.9
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 21 days but strength is declining (1.11). The trend is intact but losing energy.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 44.9 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 29.6. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 49.1% | HV90: 69.8% | HV180: 71.9%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $522.64 above GD200 $381.32 by 37.06%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is 2.56 ATR from the EMA21 ($578.27) but the distance is shrinking.
🚨 Trend Potentially Exhausted
19.1 ATR above the 200-day SMA. Historically an area where mean-reversion pressure becomes significant.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $587.62 (2.7 ATR) | GD50: $522.64 (6.5 ATR) | GD100: $516.11 (6.9 ATR) | GD200: $381.32 (19.1 ATR). ATR14: $3.63.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -23.09 -0.88 12.91 -3.20 -7.75 -10.07 1.35 -26.67 23.44 4.11 -0.95 8.92 -15.67
2011 -7.56 12.04 -4.76 8.85 -3.88 -16.49 3.23 -5.40 -23.95 28.70 7.36 -5.26 -36.25
2012 22.45 6.52 6.79 -10.24 -19.89 0.00 -29.39 -8.15 -7.42 -37.50 2.80 1.69 -56.20
2013 2.77 -4.23 5.37 15.57 24.22 3.03 -8.05 -14.17 16.51 -13.47 9.97 5.74 52.96
2014 -13.16 11.41 9.26 0.49 -4.76 5.54 -7.35 5.04 -18.03 -16.42 -2.79 0.00 -32.41
2015 -3.75 16.48 -16.51 -15.99 -1.30 6.67 -20.25 -17.73 0.58 21.84 7.76 22.65 7.49
2016 -20.58 0.00 30.73 25.44 22.19 16.03 35.31 11.45 -5.99 4.03 25.67 35.16 309.39
2017 -9.27 19.90 -2.74 -9.15 -17.84 14.18 12.02 -5.18 T
-3.34
-13.53 0.83 -4.19 -10.06
2018 T
25.14
-8.60 -15.55 14.17 T
23.36
4.10 20.91 36.20 10.09 -42.04 5.34 -22.14 68.12
2019 T
29.63
-4.00 7.77 4.82 T
2.24
10.12 -2.40 5.32 -6.18 T
17.98
12.21 18.41 143.55
2020 -4.28 -5.29 -4.17 T
20.00
7.86 -1.90 T
47.26
16.93 -11.05 T
-11.28
T
24.04
-0.99 86.78
2021 -7.22 T
-3.59
-9.13 T
0.65
1.95 T
16.24
13.80 1.92 -6.45 T
17.35
26.46 T
-3.49
55.90
2022 -23.96 5.62 T
-3.94
-20.95 T
13.38
-24.45 28.23 T
-12.31
-23.04 -9.15 T
30.12
-16.40 -56.89
2023 T
17.39
-7.16 25.19 -7.45 T
31.80
-4.65 -1.23 -10.10 -6.06 T
-4.62
12.14 21.44 130.26
2024 21.01 12.93 -10.93 -13.61 T
15.69
-0.82 T
-8.38
12.09 19.82 -9.82 -3.30 -14.97 -12.84
2025 -3.88 -12.61 T
4.59
-5.28 T
14.57
23.79 29.53 -5.28 -0.33 T
56.16
-16.22 -2.55 77.53
2026 T
5.93
-18.70 2.42 68.64 43.15 13.87 -11.97 -2.87 T
33.10
4.89 189.01

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

AMD - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange AMD Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for AMD:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
11.09.26 $516.13 15d +21.92% +25.14% +0% +0%
14.01.26 $223.60 28d +13.03% +8.28% +8.28% +8.28%
06.10.25 $203.71 28d +14.42% +25.73% +25.83% +25.83%
06.05.25 $98.62 55d +16.35% +18.95% +28.88% +68.88%
25.03.25 $114.81 3d -10.32% -10.32% -10.32% +0%
05.07.24 $171.90 12d -7.25% -7.25% -7.25% -7.25%
28.05.24 $171.61 3d -6.57% -6.57% -6.57% +0%
10.10.23 $109.01 4d -6.6% -6.6% -6.6% -6.6%
11.05.23 $97.10 40d +11.5% +24.67% +22.48% +22.48%
23.01.23 $76.53 12d +12.49% +2.57% +2.57% +2.57%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for AMD: 20.07%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 9 +29.52% +34.95% +36.04% +39.34% Hold
15-20% 3 +17.53% +21.12% +26.01% +39.8% Hold
10-15% 11 +12.46% +14.07% +16.6% +15.35% Hold
7-10% 14 +8.74% +16.72% +17.24% +18.18% Hold
5-7% 6 +5.87% +10% +8.14% +22.52% Hold
3-5% 7 +4.22% +2.14% +0.76% +2.37% Close
1-3% 8 +1.89% +4.1% +3.34% +10.38% Hold
0-1% 3 +0.59% +1.02% +0.44% +0.44% Close
-1-0% 6 -0.62% +2.84% +3.79% +3.92% Neg
-3-1% 11 -2.02% -0.39% +2.29% +5.45% Neg
-5-3% 8 -4.05% -4.78% -4.78% -3.75% Neg
-7-5% 6 -6.18% -6.63% -6.63% -5.54% Neg
-10-7% 6 -7.91% -6.38% -5.04% -2.42% Neg
<-10% 9 -13.17% -12.84% -12.84% -7.86% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 28.9

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
15%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
80% / 20%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
178,077,076.8
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$615.00 · 4.8%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$610.00 · 5.6%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$645.86
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

AMD GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

AMD GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 15% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (80% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 15% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$805.48 B
PE Ratio (TTM)125.87
Forward PE31.71
PEG Ratio0.53
EV/EBITDA83.31
Price/Sales19.50
Price/Book11.98
Beta2.48

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin55.72%
Operating Margin17.25%
Net Margin15.58%
ROE10.20%
ROA5.13%

Analyst Consensus (50 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$610
High Target$1250
Low Target$365

About Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology, data processing units, field programmable gate arrays (FPGA), system on modules, AI network interface cards, and adaptive SoC products. It provides processors under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen AI, AMD Ryzen PRO, AMD Ryzen Threadripper, AMD Ryzen Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, and AMD PRO A-Series brands; graphics under the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon graphics; professional graphics under the AMD Radeon Pro graphics brand; and AI and general-purpose compute infrastructure for hyperscale providers. The company offers data center graphics under the AMD Instinct accelerators and Radeon PRO V-series brands; server microprocessors under the AMD EPYC brand; low power solutions under the AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, and AMD R-Series and G-Series brands; FPGA products under the Virtex-6, Virtex-7, Virtex UltraScale+, Kintex-7, Kintex UltraScale, Kintex UltraScale+, Artix-7, Artix UltraScale+, Spartan-6, and Spartan-7 brands; adaptive SOCs under the Zynq-7000, Zynq UltraScale+ MPSoC, Zynq UltraScale+ RFSoCs, Versal HBM, Versal Premium, Versal Prime, Versal AI Core, Versal AI Edge, Vitis, and Vivado brands; and compute and network acceleration board products under the Alveo and Pensando brands. It serves original equipment and design manufacturers, public cloud service providers, system integrators, distributors, and add-in-board manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

ETF Holdings

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is included in 7 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
SMH 4.17%
ARTY 4.02%
CHAT 3.05%
XLK 2.84%
QQQ 1.87%
BLOK 1.28%
SPY 0.60%

Frequently Asked Questions – Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.