AMD – Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

Technology | Semiconductors | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$473.25
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+77.64%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 2 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
3.0
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
0%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
66% / 34%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
14.01.26
Date
Signal entry date
$223.60
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
47d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+13.03%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+8.28%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+8.28%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+141.36%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Downtrend Confirmed – Avoid Longs Composite Score: -5 / 7

AMD is in a confirmed downtrend with broad signal alignment to the downside. The swing trend is negative, momentum is running bearish for -2 days, and the moving average stack is bearishly ordered.

What to watch

Avoid long exposure. The weight of evidence points lower. Any rally attempts should be treated as potential shorting opportunities until price reclaims the EMA21 and primary trend turns positive.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest AMD Reports

Aug 12, 2026
Aug 06, 2026
Jul 08, 2026
Jul 07, 2026

AMD Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $473.25  ·  ATR14: $6.00

Downtrend Confirmed – Avoid Longs Composite Score: -5 / 7

AMD is in a confirmed downtrend with broad signal alignment to the downside. The swing trend is negative, momentum is running bearish for -2 days, and the moving average stack is bearishly ordered.

What to watch

Avoid long exposure. The weight of evidence points lower. Any rally attempts should be treated as potential shorting opportunities until price reclaims the EMA21 and primary trend turns positive.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -2d Strength: -0.11 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 3.0 – Weak ADX38: 7.8
Volatility (HV30) 74.0% – Calm HV90: 82.0% | HV180: 71.2%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance -2.53 ATR ↓ EMA21: $477.64
GD200 Extension 7.2 ATR – Extended GD20: -0.3 | GD50: -1.2 | GD100: 1.2
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -2 days but strength is decreasing (-0.11). The move may be exhausting.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 3.0 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 7.8. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 74.0% | HV90: 82.0% | HV180: 71.2%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $510.23 above GD200 $329.86 by 54.68%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -2.53 ATR from the EMA21 ($477.64) but the distance is shrinking.
📏 Extended Move
7.2 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $481.12 (-0.3 ATR) | GD50: $510.23 (-1.2 ATR) | GD100: $442.64 (1.2 ATR) | GD200: $329.86 (7.2 ATR). ATR14: $6.00.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -23.09 -0.88 12.91 -3.20 -7.75 -10.07 1.35 -26.67 23.44 4.11 -0.95 8.92 -15.67
2011 -7.56 12.04 -4.76 8.85 -3.88 -16.49 3.23 -5.40 -23.95 28.70 7.36 -5.26 -36.25
2012 22.45 6.52 6.79 -10.24 -19.89 0.00 -29.39 -8.15 -7.42 -37.50 2.80 1.69 -56.20
2013 2.77 -4.23 5.37 15.57 24.22 3.03 -8.05 -14.17 16.51 -13.47 9.97 5.74 52.96
2014 -13.16 11.41 9.26 0.49 -4.76 5.54 -7.35 5.04 -18.03 -16.42 -2.79 0.00 -32.41
2015 -3.75 16.48 -16.51 -15.99 -1.30 6.67 -20.25 -17.73 0.58 21.84 7.76 22.65 7.49
2016 -20.58 0.00 30.73 25.44 22.19 16.03 35.31 11.45 -5.99 4.03 25.67 35.16 309.39
2017 -9.27 19.90 -2.74 -9.15 -17.84 T
14.18 		12.02 -5.18 T
-3.34 		-13.53 0.83 -4.19 -10.06
2018 T
25.14 		-8.60 -15.55 14.17 T
23.36 		4.10 20.91 36.20 10.09 -42.04 5.34 -22.14 68.12
2019 T
29.63 		-4.00 7.77 4.82 T
2.24 		10.12 -2.40 5.32 -6.18 T
17.98 		12.21 18.41 143.55
2020 -4.28 -5.29 -4.17 T
20.00 		7.86 -1.90 T
47.26 		16.93 -11.05 T
-11.28 		T
24.04 		-0.99 86.78
2021 -7.22 T
-3.59 		-9.13 T
0.65 		1.95 T
16.24 		13.80 1.92 -6.45 T
17.35 		26.46 T
-3.49 		55.90
2022 -23.96 5.62 T
-3.94 		-20.95 T
13.38 		-24.45 28.23 T
-12.31 		-23.04 -9.15 T
30.12 		-16.40 -56.89
2023 T
17.39 		-7.16 25.19 -7.45 T
31.80 		-4.65 -1.23 -10.10 -6.06 T
-4.62 		12.14 21.44 130.26
2024 21.01 12.93 -10.93 -13.61 T
15.69 		-0.82 T
-8.38 		12.09 19.82 -9.82 -3.30 -14.97 -12.84
2025 -3.88 -12.61 T
4.59 		-5.28 T
14.57 		23.79 29.53 -5.28 -0.33 T
56.16 		-16.22 -2.55 77.53
2026 T
5.93 		-18.70 2.42 68.64 43.15 13.87 -11.97 -2.35 111.77

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for AMD:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
14.01.26 $223.60 47d +13.03% +8.28% +8.28% +141.36%
06.10.25 $203.71 28d +14.42% +25.73% +21.16% +18.85%
06.05.25 $98.62 63d +16.35% +18.95% +28.88% +150.26%
25.03.25 $114.81 3d -10.32% -10.32% -14.1% +0%
05.07.24 $171.90 12d -7.25% -7.25% -7.25% -7.71%
28.05.24 $171.61 6d -6.57% -6.05% +7.2% +0%
10.10.23 $109.01 45d -6.6% +2.51% +11.49% +46.25%
11.05.23 $97.10 44d +11.5% +24.67% +22.48% +43.31%
23.01.23 $76.53 25d +12.49% +2.57% +6.05% +55.4%
11.11.22 $72.37 21d +3.83% -2.9% -0.99% +10.2%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for AMD: 77.64%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 2 +17.18% +16.48% +20.7% +106.19% Hold
10-15% 7 +12.86% +14.82% +18.87% +66.48% Hold
7-10% 5 +8.55% +24.43% +25.22% +93.21% Hold
5-7% 2 +5.92% +19.72% +17.17% +55.09% Hold
3-5% 2 +4.01% -1.24% -0.29% -7.88% Close
1-3% 2 +2.03% -1.95% -4.27% +24.49% Hold
0-1% 1 +0.29% +0% +0% +0% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.79% +16.65% +12.99% +23.43% Neg
-3-1% 6 -2.33% +0.33% +1.08% +10.42% Neg
-5-3% 1 -3.25% -3.25% -3.25% +0% Neg
-7-5% 3 -6.29% -3.08% +4.33% +8.03% Neg
-10-7% 2 -7.26% -7.26% -7.26% -6.34% Neg
<-10% 1 -10.32% -10.32% -14.1% +0% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 16.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
0%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
66% / 34%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
1,249,055.9
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$465.00 · 1.7%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$477.50 · 0.9%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$473.25
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

AMD GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

AMD GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 0% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (66% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 0% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$839.73 B
PE Ratio (TTM)123.35
Forward PE33.27
PEG Ratio1.01
EV/EBITDA81.54
Price/Sales20.33
Price/Book12.49
Beta2.49

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin55.72%
Operating Margin17.25%
Net Margin15.58%
ROE10.20%
ROA5.13%

Analyst Consensus (46 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$615
High Target$1250
Low Target$365

About Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology, data processing units, field programmable gate arrays (FPGA), system on modules, AI network interface cards, and adaptive SoC products. It provides processors under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen AI, AMD Ryzen PRO, AMD Ryzen Threadripper, AMD Ryzen Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, and AMD PRO A-Series brands; graphics under the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon graphics; professional graphics under the AMD Radeon Pro graphics brand; and AI and general-purpose compute infrastructure for hyperscale providers. The company offers data center graphics under the AMD Instinct accelerators and Radeon PRO V-series brands; server microprocessors under the AMD EPYC brand; low power solutions under the AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, and AMD R-Series and G-Series brands; FPGA products under the Virtex-6, Virtex-7, Virtex UltraScale+, Kintex-7, Kintex UltraScale, Kintex UltraScale+, Artix-7, Artix UltraScale+, Spartan-6, and Spartan-7 brands; adaptive SOCs under the Zynq-7000, Zynq UltraScale+ MPSoC, Zynq UltraScale+ RFSoCs, Versal HBM, Versal Premium, Versal Prime, Versal AI Core, Versal AI Edge, Vitis, and Vivado brands; and compute and network acceleration board products under the Alveo and Pensando brands. It serves original equipment and design manufacturers, public cloud service providers, system integrators, distributors, and add-in-board manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

ETF Holdings

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is included in 7 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
SMH 4.17%
ARTY 4.02%
CHAT 3.05%
XLK 2.84%
QQQ 1.87%
BLOK 1.28%
SPY 0.60%

Frequently Asked Questions – Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.