AAPL – Apple Inc.

Technology | Consumer Electronics | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$309.35
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+12.61%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 1 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
10.6
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
7%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
62% / 38%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
06.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$312.66
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
25d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+6.74%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-1.2%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-1.2%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

AAPL is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest AAPL Reports

Aug 19, 2026
Jul 30, 2026

AAPL Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $309.35  ·  ATR14: $2.47

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

AAPL is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -15d Strength: -0.24 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 10.6 – Weak ADX38: 15.3
Volatility (HV30) 33.4% – Rising HV90: 29.9% | HV180: 26.4%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance -1.12 ATR ↑ EMA21: $308.57
GD200 Extension 4.0 ATR – Normal GD20: -0.6 | GD50: -0.1 | GD100: 1.7
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -15 days and still building (-0.24). Selling pressure is not easing.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 10.6 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 15.3. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 33.4% | HV90: 29.9% | HV180: 26.4%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $310.21 above GD200 $281.50 by 10.20%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($308.57) with -1.12 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $314.34 (-0.6 ATR) | GD50: $310.21 (-0.1 ATR) | GD100: $297.08 (1.7 ATR) | GD200: $281.50 (4.0 ATR). ATR14: $2.47.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -10.26 5.08 12.45 10.64 -3.56 -3.57 3.53 -7.16 13.35 6.53 2.29 1.95 50.72
2011 2.96 2.37 -0.23 1.62 0.45 -2.85 13.76 -3.00 0.08 8.06 -3.61 4.40 22.89
2012 11.00 18.91 10.12 -5.60 -0.76 4.10 3.08 9.63 -1.17 -9.72 -1.89 -9.22 29.41
2013 -17.04 -2.69 2.83 3.23 2.38 -12.02 10.58 6.69 -2.42 7.12 6.93 1.78 2.18
2014 -9.50 4.93 1.70 8.94 7.02 3.48 2.22 6.63 -2.47 8.89 8.71 -4.08 39.69
2015 7.16 8.29 -3.61 0.72 1.03 -3.91 -4.19 -4.80 2.40 9.05 -2.38 -10.29 -3.72
2016 -7.60 0.27 8.42 -14.77 6.64 -2.90 8.68 0.05 5.92 0.91 -0.87 5.78 9.94
2017 4.48 6.40 2.77 -0.03 4.22 -5.98 3.64 9.30 -6.05 9.90 2.97 -1.06 45.70
2018 T
-2.80
T
6.16
-4.13 T
-0.85
T
10.51
-2.70 T
1.66
12.97 -1.15 -3.70 -19.64 -14.65 -8.43
2019 T
5.40
3.98 8.56 4.93 -16.84 T
14.21
5.70 T
0.15
8.88 10.76 4.47 11.16 85.95
2020 3.05 -11.44 -14.90 T
21.95
9.99 13.34 16.73 18.45 -13.69 -6.79 T
9.45
8.12 76.71
2021 1.97 -9.60 -4.41 T
6.88
-5.98 T
10.20
6.26 4.34 -7.22 T
5.01
10.97 7.77 37.22
2022 -3.97 T
-5.43
T
6.99
-9.56 -5.77 -8.06 T
16.97
-2.66 -12.51 7.64 T
-1.74
-12.39 -28.61
2023 T
15.37
1.36 13.48 2.11 4.52 7.71 2.07 -3.95 -9.63 -1.72 T
9.19
0.67 53.94
2024 T
-0.67
-3.27 -4.55 0.18 T
13.56
8.55 2.46 T
4.87
4.59 -0.13 T
6.47
4.52 34.90
2025 -3.22 T
6.07
-6.68 T
-4.79
-5.85 1.72 T
-0.12
14.71 10.84 5.84 3.64 -3.97 11.49
2026 -4.25 T
-2.16
-4.13 T
6.15
11.39 -5.53 T
4.94
1.95 14.15

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for AAPL:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
06.07.26 $312.66 25d +6.74% -1.2% -1.2% +0%
15.04.26 $266.43 56d +1.61% +10.65% +16.67% +15.94%
04.02.26 $276.49 14d -4.39% -4.45% -4.45% +7.86%
02.07.25 $212.44 44d -1.07% -0.55% +9.83% +38.77%
30.04.25 $212.50 10d +0.2% -4.9% -4.9% -0.58%
21.02.25 $245.55 8d -3.92% -2.64% -2.64% -17.7%
25.11.24 $232.87 57d +5.96% +9.62% +7.54% +2.66%
20.08.24 $226.51 40d -1.65% -2.51% -0.13% +10.56%
03.05.24 $183.38 57d +3.52% +4.84% +15.87% +23.12%
24.01.24 $194.50 9d -3.32% -3.32% -3.32% +9.25%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for AAPL: 12.61%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 1 +9.49% +8.11% +9.01% +33.26% Hold
5-7% 3 +6.18% +4.7% +5.21% +2.53% Close
3-5% 5 +3.89% +8.9% +12.53% +15.52% Hold
1-3% 11 +1.92% +5.18% +6.61% +12.12% Hold
0-1% 1 +0.2% -4.9% -4.9% -0.58% Close
-1-0% 3 -0.49% +4.3% +4.96% +41.14% Neg
-3-1% 6 -1.77% -0.19% +2.71% +22.57% Neg
-5-3% 6 -3.56% -0.71% +0.67% +1.51% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 13

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
7%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
62% / 38%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
6,931,555.7
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$312.50 · 1%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$310.00 · 0.2%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$309.35
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

AAPL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

AAPL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 7% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (62% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 7% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$4.46 T
PE Ratio (TTM)35.04
Forward PE32.18
PEG Ratio2.49
EV/EBITDA26.71
Price/Sales9.56
Price/Book41.57
Beta1.09

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin48.65%
Operating Margin32.62%
Net Margin27.62%
ROE148.75%
ROA27.08%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$1.08
Forward Yield35.00%
Payout Ratio12.04%
Dividend Date2026-08-12

Analyst Consensus (41 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$335
High Target$400
Low Target$215

About Apple Inc.

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple Vision Pro, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod, as well as Apple branded and third-party accessories. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allows customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated listening experience with on-demand radio stations; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; Apple TV, which offers original content and live sports; Apple Card, a co-branded credit card; and Apple Pay, a cashless payment service, as well as licenses its intellectual property. The company serves consumers, and small and mid-sized businesses; and the education, enterprise, and government markets. It distributes third-party applications for its products through the App Store. The company also sells its products through its retail and online stores, and direct sales force; and third-party cellular network carriers and resellers. The company was formerly known as Apple Computer, Inc. and changed its name to Apple Inc. in January 2007. Apple Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.

ETF Holdings

Apple Inc. is included in 5 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLK 12.72%
QQQ 7.47%
SPY 6.56%
DIA 3.35%
CHAT 2.47%

Frequently Asked Questions – Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.