What does Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) do?

UNP is a publicly traded company listed on a major US stock exchange. The data and analysis on this page track UNP's price momentum, trend strength, and multi-period performance.

What is UNP's current market capitalization?

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) currently has a market capitalization of approximately $174.47B. Market cap reflects the total market value of all outstanding shares and is commonly used to classify companies as large-cap, mid-cap, or small-cap.

Does UNP pay a dividend?

The forward dividend yield for UNP is 191.00%. The current payout ratio stands at 44.70%. Dividend sustainability should always be evaluated alongside earnings trends and free cash flow.

How profitable is UNP?

UNP currently reports a gross margin of 56.29%, a operating margin of 40.98%, a net margin of 28.85%. Return on equity (ROE) of 39.70% and return on assets (ROA) of 9.27%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings.

What is the analyst price target for UNP?

Based on a consensus of 24 analysts, the median price target is $337.00, the most optimistic target is $375.00, the most conservative target is $245.00. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside momentum and trend data.

What does the momentum trend tell me about UNP?

The momentum table tracks the daily rate of change of UNP's smoothed price average. A rising sequence of positive values indicates a trend that is building strength. A declining sequence may signal the move is losing energy.

How often is the UNP data updated?

All data on this page is updated once per trading day after the US market closes, using official end-of-day prices.

UNP – Union Pacific Corporation

Industrials | Railroads | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$308.05

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▲ Long

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control

+9.07%

Signal Edge

Slim positive edge across 1 signals – treat with caution

40.3

Trend Strength (ADX)

Strong trend – directional signals reliable

Options Signals

IV-Rank (52w)

Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored

82% / 18%

Call / Put Flow

Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow

Last Trendchange Signal

01.07.26

Date

Signal entry date

$277.73

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

29d

Days Held

Trading days since signal

+3.83%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

+5.21%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

+5.76%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

–

+60d

Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Volatility Compression – Wait for Breakout Composite Score: +5 / 7

UNP has been in a volatility compression for 11 consecutive sessions. Price is coiling and the range is contracting. This kind of structure typically resolves with an expansion in one direction – and the underlying trend bias is still positive, which tilts the probability toward an upside resolution. The key question is not if the move happens, but when and which way.

What to watch

This is a waiting game. Define the breakout level in advance, set alerts at the range boundaries, and let the market make the first move.

Options Signal Highlight

MEDIUM Strength 5.8 Long Call 📖 View full options analysis →

UNP Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026 · Close: $308.05 · ATR14: $2.06

Volatility Compression – Wait for Breakout Composite Score: +5 / 7

What to watch

This is a waiting game. Define the breakout level in advance, set alerts at the range boundaries, and let the market make the first move.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▲ Long	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▲ Up · 3d	Strength: 0.27 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)	40.3 – Strong	ADX38: 34.0
Volatility (HV30)	23.7% – Calm	HV90: 27.0% \| HV180: 24.1%
Vola Compression	11 days active	Potential breakout building
MA Structure	Golden Cross ✓	Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance	5.57 ATR ↑	EMA21: $293.96
GD200 Extension	9.8 ATR – Extended	GD20: 2.0 \| GD50: 3.7 \| GD100: 6.1

🚀 Momentum Accelerating

Upward momentum active for 3 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.27). Trend is building, not fading.

💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 40.3 (Strong)

A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 34.0. Trend-following has clear edge here.

🔻 Volatility Calm

HV30: 23.7% | HV90: 27.0% | HV180: 24.1%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.

🗜️ Volatility Compression – 11 Days Active

Price has been compressing for 11 sessions. The longer the compression, the more powerful the potential breakout.

⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish

Golden Cross in place. GD50 $286.22 above GD200 $256.33 by 11.66%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.

📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating

Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($293.96) with 5.57 ATR distance and growing.

📏 Extended Move

9.8 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $296.10 (2.0 ATR) | GD50: $286.22 (3.7 ATR) | GD100: $273.84 (6.1 ATR) | GD200: $256.33 (9.8 ATR). ATR14: $2.06.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2010	-7.48	8.12	8.27	2.73	-7.63	-1.14	7.42	-4.35	7.10	8.21	1.36	1.36	41.70
2011	1.00	-0.02	6.11	5.29	1.30	3.51	-4.01	-9.02	-10.64	24.73	6.80	2.92	13.08
2012	5.84	-4.00	-3.63	2.59	-2.97	10.36	3.42	-0.12	-2.91	3.80	-2.53	3.53	16.41
2013	2.34	2.35	4.28	5.61	6.14	-1.03	2.04	-5.67	1.04	-3.37	6.07	2.73	30.78
2014	4.27	5.03	4.54	1.06	5.55	0.17	-1.79	7.52	2.08	10.07	1.31	3.93	42.58
2015	-1.18	1.05	-10.30	-1.03	-6.31	-6.44	1.49	-11.12	6.03	-1.16	-5.78	-7.35	-34.07
2016	-8.83	7.89	-0.71	10.53	-4.46	3.73	6.54	2.65	2.35	-9.42	15.29	0.28	31.29
2017	3.96	0.22	-3.81	6.12	-1.16	-1.52	-6.43	3.26	9.96	0.46	8.12	7.61	30.80
2018	-1.68	-1.61	4.69	0.40	7.56	-3.57	4.77	1.52	7.64	-11.00	4.48	-12.03	1.80
2019	15.45	5.03	-0.14	3.58	-4.89	1.67	T 4.93	-7.46	1.66	T 6.10	2.01	4.50	31.22
2020	-1.56	-11.36	-12.04	T 17.07	8.44	-0.25	T 3.88	11.84	0.55	-8.77	T 13.86	2.88	14.24
2021	-2.73	3.71	T 5.37	0.85	0.44	T -2.27	T -2.14	T -0.31	-9.64	T 19.66	-1.60	8.01	24.10
2022	-1.30	T -0.31	12.70	-9.87	-5.62	-3.63	T 5.59	-1.13	-13.82	-1.56	T 10.47	-4.10	-16.43
2023	T -1.63	-0.31	T -3.24	T -1.92	-3.08	T 4.57	12.56	-4.72	-7.87	2.45	T 8.53	6.16	18.33
2024	0.21	1.77	-2.79	-2.52	T -0.91	-0.90	T 9.73	4.75	-3.42	-5.49	T 5.14	-5.29	-6.32
2025	T 8.15	1.51	-3.89	-9.07	T 3.54	5.11	-5.77	1.90	T 6.48	-6.12	T 5.95	-0.02	0.96
2026	1.38	T 12.65	-9.12	T 10.84	-1.38	3.23	T 5.18	5.78					32.83

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for UNP:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
01.07.26	$277.73	29d	+3.83%	+5.21%	+5.76%	+0%
23.04.26	$271.26	19d	-1.12%	-2.01%	-1.57%	+7.69%
03.02.26	$241.49	43d	+8.82%	+10.08%	+7.75%	+15.69%
28.11.25	$231.83	33d	+1.85%	+1.39%	+0.77%	+12.24%
23.09.25	$227.98	34d	+4.14%	-0.93%	-0.93%	+3.1%
16.05.25	$231.42	7d	-3.85%	-2.56%	-0.58%	-2.41%
23.01.25	$248.05	12d	-1.44%	-0.16%	-1.12%	-5.12%
25.11.24	$249.32	3d	-5.74%	-5.74%	-5.74%	+0%
11.11.24	$241.95	1d	-3.12%	+0%	+0%	+0%
16.07.24	$243.06	22d	-0.37%	-1.04%	+1.97%	-3.32%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for UNP: 9.07%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
10-15%	1	+12.59%	+12.2%	+14.29%	+20.77%	Hold
7-10%	2	+8.25%	+8.22%	+6.9%	+23.47%	Hold
5-7%	4	+5.68%	+5.41%	+7.08%	+7.31%	Close
3-5%	6	+3.79%	+3.31%	+4.01%	+4.93%	Close
1-3%	7	+2.03%	+2.89%	+5.58%	+10.92%	Hold
0-1%	1	+0.4%	+1%	+1%	+0%	Close
-1-0%	7	-0.5%	+0.19%	+0.35%	-0.73%	Neg
-3-1%	10	-1.74%	-0.5%	+0.24%	+2.29%	Neg
-5-3%	6	-3.99%	-1.7%	-0.93%	+2.61%	Neg
-7-5%	3	-6%	-6%	-5.13%	+0%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 5.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).

Call / Put Flow

82% / 18%

More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.

GEX (Mio.)

88,157.3

Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.

GEX Flip Strike

$305.00 · 1%

GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.

Max Pain

$305.00 · 1%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$308.05

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

UNP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Setup 1 of 2 Long Call Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 9% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (82% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages

✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid

✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels

✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility

Risks

✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day

✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid

✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration

▶ FAQ: Long Call

What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Setup 2 of 2 Long Straddle Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 9% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages

✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side

✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle

✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously

Risks

✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid

✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches

✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless

▶ FAQ: Long Straddle

What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$174.47 B
PE Ratio (TTM)	23.76
Forward PE	20.75
PEG Ratio	3.25
EV/EBITDA	15.99
Price/Sales	6.87
Price/Book	8.98
Beta	0.97

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	56.29%
Operating Margin	40.98%
Net Margin	28.85%
ROE	39.70%
ROA	9.27%

Dividends

Metric	Value
Annual Dividend	$5.68
Forward Yield	191.00%
Payout Ratio	44.70%
Dividend Date	2026-09-29

Analyst Consensus (24 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$337
High Target	$375
Low Target	$245

About Union Pacific Corporation

Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

ETF Holdings

Union Pacific Corporation is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
XLI	2.82%
IFRA	0.76%
SPY	0.25%

Frequently Asked Questions – Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.