ORCL – Oracle Corporation

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$143.56
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+8.25%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 2 signals – treat with caution
9.1
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
5%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
52% / 49%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
13.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$156.22
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
3d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-4.7%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-4.54%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-4.54%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -3 / 7

ORCL is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -17 days and downside pressure is still intensifying. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $141.12 and GD50 at $145.11.

Options Signal Highlight

ORCL Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $143.56  ·  ATR14: $4.39

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -3 / 7

ORCL is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -17 days and downside pressure is still intensifying. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $141.12 and GD50 at $145.11.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -17d Strength: -0.23 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 9.1 – Weak ADX38: 0.6
Volatility (HV30) 47.0% – Calm HV90: 56.0% | HV180: 58.3%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $141.12
GD200 Extension -2.6 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.0 | GD50: -0.2 | GD100: -1.9
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -17 days and still building (-0.23). Selling pressure is not easing.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 9.1 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 0.6. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 47.0% | HV90: 56.0% | HV180: 58.3%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $145.11 below GD200 $162.31. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.
🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone
Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $141.12. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $143.38 (0.0 ATR) | GD50: $145.11 (-0.2 ATR) | GD100: $156.87 (-1.9 ATR) | GD200: $162.31 (-2.6 ATR). ATR14: $4.39.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -7.02 6.16 3.92 1.81 -13.22 -3.35 9.90 -10.09 18.66 8.05 -7.13 13.19 26.92
2011 1.49 -1.04 5.57 5.88 -5.93 0.11 -7.31 -6.78 3.22 17.52 -1.05 -19.02 -18.30
2012 9.35 1.27 -2.22 -0.25 -10.50 14.24 1.56 4.42 -0.35 -1.66 2.20 3.69 30.66
2013 2.37 -5.45 -6.64 1.16 1.86 -10.70 7.84 -2.69 3.58 0.36 5.27 9.08 11.13
2014 -2.16 9.12 6.22 -1.18 2.56 -3.41 -0.64 4.87 -8.11 2.81 8.80 6.85 20.29
2015 -5.25 2.66 -1.99 1.93 -1.99 -7.97 -0.38 -6.60 0.29 7.62 -1.94 -6.89 -16.44
2016 1.57 1.28 7.70 -2.78 -0.23 1.67 0.42 0.17 -4.55 -1.07 4.50 -0.66 8.77
2017 4.05 6.92 3.93 1.21 0.76 9.49 1.53 0.34 -4.48 4.71 -3.11 -4.69 24.12
2018 11.07 -1.86 -7.96 1.91 1.69 -6.96 6.48 2.60 6.14 -5.32 0.37 -9.39 -1.63
2019 T
11.50
2.60 2.29 1.83 -7.79 T
13.40
-2.56 -6.83 T
6.06
1.72 2.06 -4.42 19.16
2020 T
-2.34
T
-6.83
T
-5.05
9.27 3.82 T
4.18
0.35 T
2.21
3.53 -5.59 2.25 T
10.14
22.01
2021 -4.84 T
4.87
6.04 6.00 1.83 -2.18 T
9.95
1.75 T
-3.14
7.28 -3.85 T
-2.83
38.90
2022 -7.32 -6.26 T
8.84
-10.16 -2.81 -2.41 10.32 -4.24 -18.89 T
24.41
7.68 -2.82 -5.39
2023 6.05 -2.95 T
7.63
1.27 11.66 12.36 0.07 T
2.10
-12.41 -3.10 T
9.89
-10.01 31.49
2024 T
7.34
-3.33 10.40 -9.35 T
2.23
18.38 -2.54 T
2.75
22.15 0.41 8.72 -8.14 60.14
2025 2.43 T
-1.51
-13.71 -0.86 T
13.77
31.25 15.90 -7.48 T
24.83
-9.13 -21.68 -3.00 17.39
2026 -15.91 -9.16 -1.43 T
11.13
31.40 -40.94 -8.86 T
5.13
-2.84 3.98 -26.65

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

ORCL - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange ORCL Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for ORCL:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
13.08.26 $156.22 3d -4.7% -4.54% -4.54% +0%
16.04.26 $178.34 25d -8.14% +6.4% +14.22% +12.85%
11.09.25 $307.86 12d +0.19% -5.28% -5.28% -5.28%
02.05.25 $150.73 50d +5.75% +9.82% +42.79% +62%
10.02.25 $178.92 12d -5.01% -5.01% -5.01% -5.01%
05.02.25 $171.66 2d +0.4% +0% +0% +0%
21.08.24 $140.20 31d +0.39% +17.35% +19.62% +24.51%
20.05.24 $124.52 8d -5.89% -5.89% -5.89% -5.89%
24.01.24 $114.31 23d +0.87% -0.04% -0.04% -0.04%
08.11.23 $112.33 23d +3.34% +1.96% +1.96% +1.96%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for ORCL: 8.25%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 2 +23.36% +22.1% +25.6% +22.71% Hold
15-20% 3 +17.71% +19.93% +22.73% +24.18% Hold
10-15% 4 +11.96% +11.03% +12.36% +10.12% Hold
7-10% 11 +8.82% +6.87% +7.01% +5.9% Close
5-7% 19 +5.8% +6.62% +8.17% +9.54% Hold
3-5% 13 +4.21% +4.83% +3.87% +6.36% Close
1-3% 18 +1.93% +1.97% +2.69% +2.32% Close
0-1% 16 +0.46% +2.34% +2.17% +2.21% Close
-1-0% 8 -0.7% +2.77% +2.49% +2.58% Neg
-3-1% 8 -1.7% -0.74% +0.39% +0.39% Neg
-5-3% 12 -3.69% -2.95% -2.34% -0.5% Neg
-7-5% 7 -5.54% -5.55% -5.55% -3.95% Neg
-10-7% 3 -8.26% -3.41% -0.81% +4.28% Neg
<-10% 4 -12.32% -12.32% -9.66% -6.89% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 5% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 6.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
5%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
52% / 49%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
13,206,220.9
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$142.00 · 1.1%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$144.00 · 0.3%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$143.56
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

ORCL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

ORCL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 5% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$417.06 B
PE Ratio (TTM)22.66
Forward PE13.18
PEG Ratio0.85
EV/EBITDA16.71
Price/Sales5.81
Price/Book11.10
Beta1.73

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin63.96%
Operating Margin35.63%
Net Margin26.36%
ROE41.19%
ROA6.36%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$2
Forward Yield133.00%
Payout Ratio31.35%
Dividend Date2026-10-22

Analyst Consensus (41 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$240
High Target$400
Low Target$110

About Oracle Corporation

Oracle Corporation offers products and services that build, run and support enterprise information technology frameworks worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering includes various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

ETF Holdings

Oracle Corporation is included in 6 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
IGV 7.67%
ARTY 3.20%
XLK 2.33%
GRID 1.19%
CHAT 1.12%
SPY 0.44%

Frequently Asked Questions – Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.