JPM – JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Financial Services | Banks - Diversified | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$351.58
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+14.75%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 5 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
3.2
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
15%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
62% / 38%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
10.06.26
Date
Signal entry date
$309.14
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
49d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+7.86%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+8.52%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+13.19%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+15.57%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

JPM is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary trend is losing structural support. Momentum has been running negative for -2 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $352.53 and GD50 at $343.94.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest JPM Reports

Jun 03, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges JPM Signal Follow-Up – 10 Days Review: +1.63% Performance
Apr 22, 2026

JPM Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $351.58  ·  ATR14: $1.77

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

JPM is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary trend is losing structural support. Momentum has been running negative for -2 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $352.53 and GD50 at $343.94.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -2d Strength: -0.12 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 3.2 – Weak ADX38: 0.3
Volatility (HV30) 19.4% – Calm HV90: 21.2% | HV180: 23.6%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance -1.89 ATR ↓ EMA21: $352.53
GD200 Extension 6.3 ATR – Extended GD20: -0.9 | GD50: 1.3 | GD100: 4.6
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -2 days but strength is decreasing (-0.12). The move may be exhausting.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 3.2 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 0.3. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 19.4% | HV90: 21.2% | HV180: 23.6%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $343.94 above GD200 $316.07 by 8.82%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -1.89 ATR from the EMA21 ($352.53) but the distance is shrinking.
📏 Extended Move
6.3 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $357.08 (-0.9 ATR) | GD50: $343.94 (1.3 ATR) | GD100: $324.82 (4.6 ATR) | GD200: $316.07 (6.3 ATR). ATR14: $1.77.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -9.12 5.90 6.98 -5.75 -9.07 -5.01 11.64 -12.68 0.85 -3.04 -0.05 11.19 -1.00
2011 3.12 1.65 1.10 -1.55 -4.29 -1.96 -2.72 -7.12 -17.02 21.33 -5.32 9.16 -23.70
2012 6.63 4.36 13.90 -6.83 -24.30 11.90 -0.77 3.17 9.38 1.73 -4.11 7.74 25.70
2013 5.35 2.24 -2.96 2.47 13.71 -3.12 6.17 -10.63 1.10 -0.81 8.97 2.63 30.94
2014 -4.90 4.62 8.01 -7.73 -0.27 4.10 0.17 5.26 0.96 1.19 -1.18 4.30 7.51
2015 -12.98 10.47 -1.93 5.52 3.41 2.54 0.68 -6.46 -0.78 4.61 1.74 -2.34 5.66
2016 -6.48 -4.35 0.03 5.56 2.32 -5.40 4.42 5.80 -0.92 4.13 16.24 5.50 35.63
2017 -2.98 6.67 -6.15 -0.59 -5.64 10.04 -1.02 -2.30 4.15 3.89 3.57 2.05 22.60
2018 7.15 -1.17 -3.05 0.86 T
-1.63 		-3.87 T
9.39 		-0.93 -2.01 -3.95 T
2.03 		-13.03 -9.57
2019 T
4.22 		0.46 -3.06 T
10.90 		-7.99 T
5.02 		2.04 -2.73 T
8.41 		8.11 3.10 6.03 40.37
2020 -6.19 T
-12.94 		-25.91 T
13.51 		T
4.35 		-4.60 3.62 4.26 -3.86 T
1.10 		17.59 6.12 -9.94
2021 2.22 13.54 1.15 0.07 T
7.09 		-6.33 -3.37 T
5.81 		2.49 1.65 -6.46 0.29 25.80
2022 T
-8.10 		-6.19 -0.10 -11.79 T
9.78 		-13.32 1.15 -0.42 -8.74 T
16.85 		7.83 -1.57 -17.07
2023 T
3.58 		2.69 -8.59 T
6.21 		-3.89 5.71 7.74 -6.90 -1.23 T
-3.28 		T
12.34 		8.45 25.89
2024 1.32 7.10 8.10 -3.62 T
5.61 		T
0.22 		3.58 8.10 -4.29 T
7.19 		12.01 -2.66 39.30
2025 T
11.38 		-0.81 -5.88 T
0.39 		6.93 9.54 2.01 4.16 5.25 T
0.13 		1.21 T
4.31 		34.26
2026 -6.02 -2.54 -1.14 T
6.04 		-4.21 T
10.37 		5.30 -0.30 8.02

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for JPM:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
10.06.26 $309.14 49d +7.86% +8.52% +13.19% +15.57%
08.04.26 $307.97 23d +1.63% +0.46% +2.25% +7.35%
03.12.25 $312.13 33d +1.1% +3.23% +3.96% +0.89%
31.10.25 $311.12 18d -0.53% -3.46% +2.38% +0%
24.04.25 $244.64 67d +1.94% +6.7% +7.08% +32.64%
06.01.25 $240.85 47d +9.21% +11.25% +15.94% +11.33%
11.10.24 $222.29 38d +1.21% +6.34% +10.11% +25.94%
28.06.24 $202.26 32d +1.32% +4.93% +2.82% +23.75%
02.05.24 $191.66 25d +5.45% +4% +4.15% +0%
10.11.23 $146.43 93d +4.86% +8.26% +14.32% +43.64%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for JPM: 14.75%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 5 +8.77% +8.96% +11.05% +15.23% Hold
5-7% 2 +5.68% +5.4% +4.47% +1.41% Close
3-5% 4 +3.52% +3.78% +5.99% +15.21% Hold
1-3% 8 +1.55% +3.88% +5.16% +16.44% Hold
0-1% 3 +0.16% +2.02% +8.51% +18.19% Hold
-1-0% 4 -0.57% -1.53% +0.65% +10.08% Neg
-3-1% 5 -1.78% -0.99% +2.07% +7.32% Neg
-5-3% 2 -3.74% +0.36% -1.78% +0% Neg
-7-5% 1 -5.92% -5.92% -5.92% -28.77% Neg
-10-7% 1 -8.93% -8.93% -8.93% +1.63% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 12.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
15%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
62% / 38%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-2,981,189.7
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$352.50 · 0.3%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$355.00 · 1%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$351.58
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

JPM GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

JPM GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 15% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (62% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 15% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$964.50 B
PE Ratio (TTM)15.55
Forward PE14.51
PEG Ratio1.76
Price/Sales5.18
Price/Book2.73
Beta0.98

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin0.00%
Operating Margin50.39%
Net Margin34.92%
ROE17.79%
ROA1.36%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$6
Forward Yield165.00%
Payout Ratio25.71%
Dividend Date2026-07-30

Analyst Consensus (21 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$372
High Target$420
Low Target$305

About JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a bank and financial holding company in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It operates in three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, and cash management; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, payment solutions, travel services, merchant offers, lifestyle benefits, auto loans, and leases to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking. It also provides investment banking, market-making, financing, custody, and securities products and services; corporate strategy and structure advisory, equity and debt market capital-raising, and loan origination and syndication services; cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, clearing, and research; and fund services, liquidity and trading services, and data solutions products for large corporations, financial institutions, merchants, start-ups, small and midsized companies, local governments, municipalities, nonprofits, and commercial real estate clients. In addition, the company offers multi-asset investment management solutions in equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds to institutional clients and retail investors; retirement products and services, estate planning, lending, deposits, and investment management products to high-net-worth clients; and financial transaction processing. JPMorgan Chase & Co. was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

ETF Holdings

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLF 11.05%
DIA 3.90%
SPY 1.40%

Frequently Asked Questions – JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.