XLF – State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
ETFFinancial | Inception: 1998-12-16
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
XLF has just crossed the 21-day EMA at $57.04, now trading above the line. Bulls have reclaimed a key reference. Whether this becomes a sustained move or a failed breakout depends on momentum confirming in the sessions ahead.
The cross is a signal, not a confirmation. Watch for a successful retest of the EMA21 from above – that would be the higher-confidence entry.
Options Signal Highlight
Latest XLF Reports
XLF Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 21.08.2026 · Close: $57.48 · ATR14: $1.10
XLF has just crossed the 21-day EMA at $57.04, now trading above the line. Bulls have reclaimed a key reference. Whether this becomes a sustained move or a failed breakout depends on momentum confirming in the sessions ahead.
The cross is a signal, not a confirmation. Watch for a successful retest of the EMA21 from above – that would be the higher-confidence entry.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▲ Long | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▼ Down · -1d | Strength: -0.04 – Fading |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 6.5 – Weak | ADX38: 24.6 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 10.9% – Calm | HV90: 12.5% | HV180: 14.9% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Golden Cross ✓ | Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack |
| EMA21 Distance | ~0 ATR – Near line | EMA21: $57.04 |
| GD200 Extension | 7.3 ATR – Extended | GD20: -0.1 | GD50: 2.4 | GD100: 6.4 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -3.47 | 1.80 | 8.36 | 0.50 | -10.87 | -3.90 | 7.53 | -10.08 | 1.92 | 0.41 | -0.69 | 8.14 | 8.58 |
| 2011 | 0.61 | 0.66 | -0.61 | -0.91 | -2.88 | 0.26 | -5.31 | -9.29 | -9.71 | 19.68 | -0.39 | 2.04 | -20.25 |
| 2012 | 5.40 | 3.36 | 5.90 | -3.08 | -10.13 | 8.52 | -0.48 | 3.91 | 2.84 | 1.53 | -2.11 | 4.39 | 22.86 |
| 2013 | 3.02 | -0.11 | 3.23 | 3.20 | 7.30 | -2.06 | 5.02 | -6.63 | 1.58 | 2.59 | 4.17 | 1.82 | 29.58 |
| 2014 | -3.13 | 5.70 | 3.76 | -1.88 | 1.32 | 1.74 | -2.05 | 5.13 | -1.19 | 4.15 | 1.96 | 2.06 | 13.75 |
| 2015 | -6.96 | 4.15 | -1.71 | 0.17 | 1.07 | -0.98 | 1.86 | -6.95 | -0.04 | 6.22 | 0.61 | -4.03 | -3.64 |
| 2016 | -7.06 | -2.50 | 3.21 | 2.69 | 0.98 | -3.95 | 4.00 | 4.11 | -2.87 | 2.76 | 14.50 | 1.53 | 22.47 |
| 2017 | -0.85 | 5.14 | -5.98 | -0.63 | -1.82 | 4.80 | 0.24 | -2.26 | 4.40 | 1.99 | 3.30 | 1.20 | 18.72 |
| 2018 | 6.52 | -3.83 | -2.82 | 1.82 |
T -1.02 |
-3.24 |
T 4.60 |
1.36 | -3.13 | -5.09 |
T 2.16 |
-12.23 | -14.68 |
| 2019 |
T 7.99 |
1.80 | -3.67 |
T 6.38 |
-6.41 | 5.42 | 1.15 | -2.50 |
T 5.11 |
4.71 | 3.54 | 2.74 | 28.14 |
| 2020 | -3.60 | -11.87 | -25.51 |
T 16.57 |
6.12 | -2.28 | 4.75 |
T 3.98 |
-4.22 |
T -1.04 |
14.69 | 4.13 | -5.15 |
| 2021 | -0.45 | 10.16 | 2.19 | 5.19 | 4.25 | -4.00 | -1.24 |
T 5.12 |
T -1.70 |
T 5.53 |
-5.76 | 4.02 | 34.28 |
| 2022 |
T -1.19 |
T -2.73 |
T 3.29 |
-9.71 | 2.75 | -9.89 | 5.74 |
T -1.14 |
-8.42 |
T 8.98 |
6.57 | -5.26 | -13.48 |
| 2023 |
T 6.53 |
-2.30 | -9.69 | 2.98 | -3.99 |
T 5.02 |
4.22 | -2.69 |
T -4.38 |
-1.61 |
T 10.22 |
3.95 | 9.56 |
| 2024 | 2.65 | 3.92 | 4.54 | -3.65 |
T 3.17 |
-0.65 |
T 6.17 |
6.08 | -0.18 | 3.11 | 10.08 | -4.92 | 27.99 |
| 2025 |
T 6.76 |
1.79 | -3.73 |
T -1.99 |
4.53 | 2.73 | -0.55 |
T 5.04 |
0.52 | -1.91 |
T 2.26 |
T 3.55 |
13.61 |
| 2026 | -2.71 | -4.81 | -3.76 |
T 5.44 |
-0.65 |
T 4.24 |
3.94 | 0.17 | 4.64 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for XLF:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.06.26 | $52.23 | 40d | +2.85% | +6.34% | +6.89% | +10.05% |
| 13.04.26 | $51.66 | 15d | -0.46% | +0.35% | +0.54% | +0% |
| 01.12.25 | $52.89 | 44d | +3.89% | +4.59% | +4.54% | -0.51% |
| 12.11.25 | $53.67 | 1d | -2.27% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
| 18.08.25 | $52.50 | 44d | +2.84% | +2.25% | +3.1% | +4.06% |
| 28.04.25 | $48.17 | 50d | +3.51% | +3.9% | +5.88% | +11.48% |
| 22.01.25 | $50.41 | 29d | +1.45% | +3.53% | +2.64% | +1.17% |
| 11.07.24 | $42.24 | 53d | +0.8% | -0.43% | +3.69% | +22.49% |
| 08.05.24 | $41.36 | 28d | +1.98% | +0.68% | +0.29% | +1.69% |
| 09.11.23 | $33.53 | 84d | +5.19% | +7.19% | +11.12% | +30.45% |
Signal Statistics – Historical Edge
Calculated edge for XLF: 5.04%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-7% | 3 | +5.72% | +5.98% | +6.38% | +12.81% | Hold |
| 3-5% | 5 | +3.67% | +3.33% | +4.31% | +5.34% | Close |
| 1-3% | 11 | +1.97% | +3.39% | +3.58% | +7.14% | Hold |
| 0-1% | 5 | +0.55% | +0.03% | +1.09% | +1.29% | Close |
| -1-0% | 3 | -0.49% | +0.35% | +2.76% | -2.35% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 4 | -1.8% | -1.2% | +1.17% | +14.53% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 4 | -4.06% | -2.32% | -0.86% | -1.18% | Neg |
Signal data as of August 21, 2026
Options Metrics
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →
About State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Financial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: financial services; insurance; banks; capital markets; mortgage real estate investment trusts; and consumer finance. The fund is non-diversified.
Fund Overview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Assets under Management | $49.68 B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.08% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
| Portfolio Turnover | 6% |
| YTD Return | -603.87% |
| 3-Year Return | 18.43% |
| 5-Year Return | 9.25% |
Sector Allocation
| Sector | Weight | |
|---|---|---|
| Financials | 85.3% |
|
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.7% |
|
Top 10 Holdings
| Symbol | Company | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRK-B | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC CLASS B | 12.8% |
|
| JPM | JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 11.05% |
|
| V | VISA INC CLASS A | 7.42% |
|
| MA | MASTERCARD INC CLASS A | 5.91% |
|
| BAC | BANK OF AMERICA CORP | 4.48% |
|
| GS | THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 3.38% |
|
| WFC | WELLS FARGO & CO | 3.37% |
|
| C | CITIGROUP INC | 2.72% |
|
| MS | MORGAN STANLEY | 2.67% |
|
| AXP | AMERICAN EXPRESS CO | 2.27% |
|
