DELL – Dell Technologies Inc.

Technology | Computer Hardware | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$442.08
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+42.86%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 1 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
2.7
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
8%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
61% / 39%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
05.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$462.70
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
3d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+1.29%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Extended – Protect Gains Composite Score: -1 / 7

DELL has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 13 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 12.6 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $237.07. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.

What to watch

A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest DELL Reports

Aug 22, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges DELL Signal Follow-Up – 10 Days: +1.29% Above Exit Threshold
Aug 19, 2026

DELL Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $442.08  ·  ATR14: $6.88

Trend Extended – Protect Gains Composite Score: -1 / 7

DELL has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 13 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 12.6 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $237.07. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.

What to watch

A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 13d Strength: 0.16 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 2.7 – Weak ADX38: 2.2
Volatility (HV30) 86.1% – Calm HV90: 89.6% | HV180: 75.9%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance -0.68 ATR ↓ EMA21: $433.98
GD200 Extension 12.6 ATR – Exhausted GD20: -0.1 | GD50: 0.5 | GD100: 4.3
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 13 days but strength is declining (0.16). The trend is intact but losing energy.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 2.7 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 2.2. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 86.1% | HV90: 89.6% | HV180: 75.9%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $428.02 above GD200 $237.07 by 80.54%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -0.68 ATR from the EMA21 ($433.98) but the distance is shrinking.
🚨 Trend Potentially Exhausted
12.6 ATR above the 200-day SMA. Historically an area where mean-reversion pressure becomes significant.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $444.04 (-0.1 ATR) | GD50: $428.02 (0.5 ATR) | GD100: $341.33 (4.3 ATR) | GD200: $237.07 (12.6 ATR). ATR14: $6.88.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2016 3.91 9.87 2.36 T
10.47
5.94 27.88
2017 15.38 0.62 0.00 T
5.07
2.66 -11.83 6.47 T
16.23
3.29 6.21 -5.07 T
1.66
48.93
2018 -12.98 5.78 T
-2.90
-1.13 T
12.96
-0.28 0.34 3.71 1.02 -6.54 T
15.72
-16.35 7.11
2019 3.12 T
12.41
3.59 11.52 -13.17 -9.06 T
11.99
-10.68 T
1.52
T
2.43
-8.93 7.65 9.04
2020 -6.74 T
-17.71
-6.68 T
15.70
24.11 11.30 10.23 9.26 1.99 -10.76 T
14.49
3.92 40.14
2021 0.57 9.62 6.09 10.39 0.88 -3.09 -2.08 T
1.23
T
7.53
3.99 -0.10 0.85 52.91
2022 T
-0.31
-13.00 0.61 -2.99 5.13 -8.80 6.26 T
-15.69
-9.23 T
8.07
14.42 -10.43 -27.69
2023 0.13 T
-1.44
-0.58 T
7.07
2.26 19.04 -3.09 5.38 1.04 -1.17 T
10.48
6.35 100.00
2024 10.82 10.35 -8.41 4.18 17.49 4.45 -20.40 6.56 7.01 9.25 -2.51 -8.42 54.08
2025 -11.10 T
2.67
-4.61 T
-0.22
21.01 13.43 9.00 -4.06 T
17.20
8.24 -16.71 -4.70 8.02
2026 -10.45 T
24.27
6.89 23.36 100.27 -7.40 T
-4.67
T
3.04
245.92

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for DELL:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
05.08.26 $462.70 3d +1.29% +0% +0% +0%
27.07.26 $426.91 2d +2.52% +0% +0% +0%
25.02.26 $123.48 49d +16.46% +43.27% +50.2% +258.02%
11.02.26 $124.16 1d -0.55% +0% +0% +0%
23.09.25 $134.34 24d +8.5% +10.07% +19.18% +31.96%
24.04.25 $94.40 48d +1.47% +18.57% +18.45% +63.81%
18.02.25 $120.34 8d -10.4% -10.4% -10.4% -5.08%
06.11.23 $71.97 56d +2.26% -0.06% +1.95% +86.26%
10.04.23 $39.06 76d +4.05% +10.5% +16.26% +114.39%
02.02.23 $39.99 17d +0.9% -0.9% -0.9% +9.33%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for DELL: 42.86%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +16.46% +43.27% +50.2% +258.02% Hold
7-10% 2 +8.85% +14.27% +17.85% +36.63% Hold
5-7% 4 +5.76% +7.2% +11.88% +32.6% Hold
3-5% 5 +3.97% +7.32% +8.76% +39.39% Hold
1-3% 6 +1.91% +3.81% +5.56% +27.11% Hold
0-1% 3 +0.47% -1.74% -1.95% +2.77% Close
-1-0% 1 -0.55% +0% +0% +0% Neg
-3-1% 2 -2.41% +2.3% -0.88% -8.58% Neg
-5-3% 2 -4.55% -5.25% -5.25% +0% Neg
-7-5% 1 -6.77% -6.77% -6.77% +0% Neg
<-10% 1 -10.4% -10.4% -10.4% -5.08% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 17.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
8%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
61% / 39%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-4,610,891.5
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$415.00 · 6.1%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$450.00 · 1.8%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$442.08
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

DELL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

DELL GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 8% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (61% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 8% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$317.13 B
PE Ratio (TTM)39.08
Forward PE22.26
PEG Ratio0.75
EV/EBITDA24.06
Price/Sales2.37
Price/Book-226.91
Beta1.40

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin19.21%
Operating Margin8.86%
Net Margin6.28%
ROA7.00%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$2.52
Forward Yield51.00%
Payout Ratio17.57%
Dividend Date2026-07-30

Analyst Consensus (23 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$500
High Target$700
Low Target$360

About Dell Technologies Inc.

Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG) segments. The ISG segment provides modern and traditional storage solutions, including all-flash, purpose-built, hyper-converged infrastructure, software-defined storage, and general-purpose and AI-optimized servers. This segment also offers networking products and services comprising wide area network infrastructure, data center and edge networking switches, and cables and optics that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure and complementing its server and storage solutions; and software, peripherals, and services, including consulting and support, and deployment. The CSG segment provides notebooks, desktops, and workstations and branded peripherals that include displays, docking stations, keyboards, mice, webcam and audio devices, and third-party software and peripherals; and configuration, and extended warranties services. The company is involved in originating, collecting, and servicing customer financing arrangements and offers payment and consumption solutions and services, such utility, subscription, as-a-service, leases, and loans, as well as fixed-term leases and loans. It serves enterprises, governmental agencies and other public institutions, educational institutions, healthcare organizations, small and medium-sized businesses, and consumers. The company has a strategic alliance with Rafay Systems for the development of AI infrastructure solutions. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in March 2013. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.

ETF Holdings

Dell Technologies Inc. is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
BLOK 1.47%
XLK 0.42%
SPY 0.09%

Frequently Asked Questions – Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.