CAT – Caterpillar, Inc.
Industrials | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Website
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
CAT is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -2 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.
This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $841.94 and GD50 at $905.55.
Options Signal Highlight
Latest CAT Reports
CAT Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 21.08.2026 · Close: $827.90 · ATR14: $4.16
CAT is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -2 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.
This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $841.94 and GD50 at $905.55.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▼ Short | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▼ Down · -2d | Strength: -0.12 – Fading |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 21.1 – Moderate | ADX38: 23.6 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 41.8% – Calm | HV90: 46.0% | HV180: 41.9% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Golden Cross ✓ | Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3) |
| EMA21 Distance | -5.93 ATR ↓ | EMA21: $841.94 |
| GD200 Extension | 2.1 ATR – Normal | GD20: -0.4 | GD50: -2.1 | GD100: -1.3 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -10.18 | 7.79 | 8.64 | 7.07 | -13.13 | 1.34 | 17.06 | -8.29 | 15.43 | 1.03 | 6.73 | 7.10 | 64.03 |
| 2011 | 3.51 | 5.03 | 11.51 | 2.45 | -7.50 | 5.16 | -8.67 | -9.65 | -16.61 | 34.64 | 6.82 | -6.42 | -1.96 |
| 2012 | 16.63 | 3.34 | -6.05 | -3.77 | -14.19 | -0.71 | 1.27 | 3.25 | 4.09 | -0.18 | -2.75 | 6.68 | -2.05 |
| 2013 | 5.24 | -7.16 | -4.81 | -0.50 | 3.28 | -4.24 | 0.94 | -2.24 | 1.08 | 0.23 | 1.21 | 7.79 | -0.88 |
| 2014 | 5.18 | 4.93 | 3.18 | 6.22 | -2.71 | 4.74 | -7.13 | 8.51 | -9.07 | 4.68 | 0.37 | -7.54 | 4.57 |
| 2015 | -12.25 | 2.54 | -3.59 | 9.99 | -2.35 | -0.83 | -5.48 | -1.06 | -12.74 | 14.64 | -2.27 | -5.03 | -23.26 |
| 2016 | -7.31 | 7.99 | 10.78 | 2.21 | -6.84 | 4.89 | 9.31 | 0.00 | 8.99 | -4.62 | 16.20 | -3.64 | 42.04 |
| 2017 | 2.62 | 1.63 | -5.91 | 11.75 | 3.37 | 1.72 | 7.29 | 3.88 | 5.43 | 9.53 | 3.57 | 11.35 | 72.71 |
| 2018 | 4.14 | -4.69 | -1.89 | 0.83 |
T 5.18 |
-11.62 | 6.16 |
T 0.23 |
10.30 | -19.82 | 8.80 |
T -8.55 |
-17.27 |
| 2019 |
T 6.04 |
4.91 | -1.43 |
T 0.01 |
-13.27 |
T 12.96 |
-2.87 | -6.15 |
T 7.93 |
13.49 | 0.17 | 3.30 | 20.16 |
| 2020 | -12.12 | -4.26 | -9.06 |
T 5.48 |
T 8.34 |
4.98 | 6.20 | 8.00 | 2.12 | 7.70 | 6.32 | 5.06 | 24.57 |
| 2021 | 0.91 | 16.86 | 5.51 | -1.55 | 5.66 | -10.35 | -4.08 |
T 2.78 |
-7.69 |
T 5.56 |
-5.86 |
T 7.97 |
15.87 |
| 2022 | -2.15 | -8.65 |
T 21.87 |
-3.74 | 1.79 |
T -17.84 |
11.97 |
T -5.21 |
-10.06 |
T 27.26 |
8.19 | 1.64 | 18.45 |
| 2023 | 6.12 | -4.01 | -7.98 | -4.30 |
T -1.11 |
T 17.69 |
7.21 | -2.61 | -4.63 | -16.81 |
T 8.15 |
T 15.15 |
30.57 |
| 2024 | 2.60 | 8.54 | 8.83 | -8.02 |
T 2.25 |
0.53 |
T 5.20 |
T 7.41 |
14.95 | -4.13 |
T 6.98 |
-9.88 | 23.93 |
| 2025 |
T 3.24 |
-4.87 | -0.67 | -6.44 |
T 10.85 |
12.63 | 12.05 | -2.25 |
T 14.69 |
20.06 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 59.23 |
| 2026 | 9.85 | 7.51 | -5.83 |
T 21.88 |
-1.55 | 23.06 | -17.81 | -0.26 | 38.35 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for CAT:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.04.26 | $771.58 | 53d | +3.74% | +17.24% | +11.97% | +21.84% |
| 11.09.25 | $431.38 | 88d | +8.9% | +16.4% | +19.13% | +117.93% |
| 02.05.25 | $323.68 | 59d | +8.07% | +7.52% | +10.31% | +73.97% |
| 21.01.25 | $398.36 | 12d | -6.76% | -6.76% | -6.76% | -10.37% |
| 27.11.24 | $403.70 | 6d | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.1% | +0% |
| 21.08.24 | $342.97 | 38d | -1.81% | +3.54% | +14.89% | +16.41% |
| 16.07.24 | $360.58 | 3d | -4.45% | -3.99% | -2.61% | +0% |
| 22.05.24 | $355.94 | 3d | -1.98% | -1.98% | -1.98% | +0% |
| 01.12.23 | $256.76 | 67d | +11.06% | +15.15% | +11.87% | +34.83% |
| 30.11.23 | $250.72 | 0d | +0% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
Signal Statistics – Historical Edge
Calculated edge for CAT: 29%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-20% | 1 | +18.72% | +29.71% | +28.95% | +65.63% | Hold |
| 10-15% | 3 | +11.19% | +5.05% | +3.96% | +11.61% | Hold |
| 7-10% | 2 | +8.49% | +11.96% | +14.72% | +95.95% | Hold |
| 5-7% | 2 | +6.27% | +4.27% | +4.27% | +5.21% | Close |
| 3-5% | 4 | +3.87% | +4.63% | +3.4% | +10.52% | Hold |
| 1-3% | 8 | +2.15% | +3.76% | +5.83% | +27.69% | Hold |
| 0-1% | 3 | +0.39% | +2.32% | +4.23% | -0.33% | Close |
| -3-1% | 7 | -1.74% | -1.13% | +1.52% | +5.38% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 2 | -4.7% | -1.99% | -1.31% | +0% | Neg |
| -7-5% | 4 | -5.74% | -5.67% | -4.1% | -4.48% | Neg |
| -10-7% | 1 | -7.58% | -7.58% | -7.58% | -13.64% | Neg |
| <-10% | 2 | -12.09% | -9.5% | -8.22% | +0% | Neg |
Signal data as of August 21, 2026
Options Metrics
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $393.74 B |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 36.76 |
| Forward PE | 26.75 |
| PEG Ratio | 1.88 |
| EV/EBITDA | 26.59 |
| Price/Sales | 5.27 |
| Price/Book | 20.30 |
| Beta | 1.61 |
Profitability
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 29.71% |
| Operating Margin | 22.18% |
| Net Margin | 14.51% |
| ROE | 56.97% |
| ROA | 9.03% |
Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Annual Dividend | $6.52 |
| Forward Yield | 76.00% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.01% |
| Dividend Date | 2026-08-18 |
Analyst Consensus (26 Analysts)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median Target | $975 |
| High Target | $1225 |
| Low Target | $575 |
About Caterpillar, Inc.
Caterpillar Inc. provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. The Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators; backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders; and related parts and work tools. Its Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor scrapers and dozers, and landfill and soil compactors; machinery components, and wear and maintenance components; and technology products and services for fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services, and mining performance solutions. The Energy & Transportation segment offers reciprocating engine powered generator sets; reciprocating engines, drivetrain, and integrated systems and solutions; centrifugal gas compressors and related services; and diesel-electric locomotive components, and other rail-related products. Its Financial Products segment provides operating and finance leases, revolving charge accounts, installment sale contracts, repair/rebuild financing, working capital loans, and wholesale financing; and insurance and risk management products and services. The All Other segment offers parts distribution; logistics and distribution services; electronics and control systems; dealer portfolio management; brand management and marketing strategy; and digital investment services. It also provides mining software solutions. The company was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. Caterpillar Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
ETF Holdings
Caterpillar, Inc. is included in 4 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.