Last updated: September 15, 2026
StockBotty Signal Report – September 15, 2026: 0 New Signal(s), 2 Follow-Up(s)
Today’s report covers two positions entered on August 31, 2026 that have now reached their 10-day review window. Both signals are triggering exit rules. TSLA has declined 2.44% and UNG has declined 1.99%. The exit framework worked as designed.
| Symbol | Type | Action | Performance |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | Equity | CLOSE | -2.44% |
| UNG | ETF | CLOSE | -1.99% |
Signal Follow-Ups
TSLA: -2.44% after 10 Days – Exit rule triggered
Entered August 31 at $367.95, TSLA closed Friday at $358.97. The position falls into the -3-1% range, which sits directly on the exit boundary. The signal carried a 45.34% historical edge and required closure at or below 0% performance after 10 days. That threshold was established before entry.
| Range | Count | 10d Avg | 20d Avg | 30d Avg | 60d Avg | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >20% | 3 | 32.76% | 40.10% | 46.10% | 57.70% | Hold |
| 15-20% | 5 | 16.34% | 27.80% | 37.80% | 93.30% | Hold |
| 10-15% | 6 | 11.11% | 10.00% | 12.90% | 12.60% | Hold |
| 7-10% | 1 | 7.42% | 6.10% | 8.10% | 94.90% | Close |
| 5-7% | 2 | 5.56% | 5.60% | 5.40% | 5.80% | Close |
| 3-5% | 1 | 3.65% | 12.30% | 16.50% | 22.30% | Hold |
| 1-3% | 2 | 2.19% | 3.00% | 4.80% | 4.80% | Close |
| 0-1% | 1 | 0.29% | 2.20% | 28.10% | 28.50% | Hold |
| -1-0% | 4 | -0.32% | 9.70% | 5.70% | 5.70% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 5 | -1.98% | -0.60% | -0.70% | -0.70% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 5 | -3.88% | -1.40% | -2.30% | -2.30% | Neg |
| -7-5% | 6 | -6.02% | -5.10% | -4.10% | -3.10% | Neg |
| -10-7% | 2 | -8.15% | -7.30% | -7.30% | -7.30% | Neg |
| <-10% | 6 | -12.37% | -9.70% | -9.70% | -7.80% | Neg |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Entry Date | August 31, 2026 |
| Entry Price | $367.95 |
| Current Price | $358.97 |
| Days Held | 10 days |
| Performance | -$8.98 (-2.44%) |
| Current Range | -3-1% |
| Exit Threshold | <= 0% after 10 days |
| Max Stoploss | -10% |
Current performance places TSLA in the -3-1% range with a negative signal. Historically, positions within this band have produced average 10-day returns of -1.98%, which aligns with the current observation. The exit rule established that positions hitting zero percent or worse after 10 days close automatically. The -2.44% loss marks the trigger point.
Exit threshold has been reached. The position is down 2.44% and falls within the -3-1% performance band that historically shows negative signal structure. The exit rule required closure at or below 0% performance after 10 days. This condition is now met. The 45.34% edge provided no protection against this outcome; not every signal trades profitably.
UNG: -1.99% after 10 Days – Exit rule triggered
Entered August 31 at $10.54, UNG closed Friday at $10.33. The position has declined 1.99% and sits in the -3-1% range. The signal had a 20.77% historical edge and required closure at or below 15% performance after 10 days. That threshold is standard for this asset class.
| Range | Count | 10d Avg | 20d Avg | 30d Avg | 60d Avg | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-20% | 1 | 18.93% | 17.80% | 19.30% | 24.20% | Hold |
| 10-15% | 2 | 10.97% | 11.90% | 7.90% | 7.90% | Close |
| 7-10% | 7 | 8.47% | 8.50% | 7.70% | 5.80% | Close |
| 5-7% | 4 | 6.08% | 6.30% | 4.40% | 2.50% | Close |
| 3-5% | 5 | 3.99% | 2.30% | 1.80% | 1.70% | Close |
| 1-3% | 4 | 1.39% | -1.30% | -1.30% | 0.00% | Close |
| -1-0% | 4 | -0.50% | 2.60% | 2.60% | 2.60% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 6 | -2.19% | -2.40% | -2.40% | -2.10% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 17 | -3.86% | -2.50% | -0.90% | 1.80% | Neg |
| -7-5% | 7 | -5.60% | -5.60% | -5.60% | -3.20% | Neg |
| -10-7% | 2 | -8.80% | -4.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Neg |
| <-10% | 7 | -15.60% | -15.60% | -15.60% | -11.30% | Neg |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Entry Date | August 31, 2026 |
| Entry Price | $10.54 |
| Current Price | $10.33 |
| Days Held | 10 days |
| Performance | -$0.21 (-1.99%) |
| Current Range | -3-1% |
| Exit Threshold | <= 15% after 10 days |
| Max Stoploss | -10% |
UNG’s current performance matches the -3-1% range, which carries 6 observations and shows consistent weakness across all measurement periods. At 10 days, positions in this band averaged -2.19%. The signal table flags this range with a negative mark. The exit rule requires closure at or below 15% performance after 10 days. UNG is well below that threshold.
Exit threshold has been reached. The position is down 1.99% and sits within the -3-1% performance band that shows negative signal strength across all timeframes. The exit rule required closure at or below 15% performance after 10 days. That condition is satisfied. The 20.77% edge provided no buffer against this outcome. Exit rules protect capital when signals fail.
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