SOFI – SoFi Technologies, Inc.

Financial Services | Credit Services | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$15.66
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+30.38%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 3 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
29.6
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
9%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
42% / 58%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
05.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$18.25
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
21d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-3.23%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-2.03%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-2.03%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-2.03%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

SOFI shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Options Signal Highlight

SOFI Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $15.66  ·  ATR14: $3.77

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

SOFI shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -26d Strength: -0.69 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 29.6 – Strong ADX38: 14.3
Volatility (HV30) 38.3% – Calm HV90: 51.4% | HV180: 53.0%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance -1.33 ATR ↑ EMA21: $16.30
GD200 Extension -4.4 ATR – Normal GD20: -1.4 | GD50: -2.7 | GD100: -2.5
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -26 days and still building (-0.69). Selling pressure is not easing.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 29.6 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 14.3. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 38.3% | HV90: 51.4% | HV180: 53.0%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $17.40 below GD200 $18.79. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($16.30) with -1.33 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $16.52 (-1.4 ATR) | GD50: $17.40 (-2.7 ATR) | GD100: $17.28 (-2.5 ATR) | GD200: $18.79 (-4.4 ATR). ATR14: $3.77.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2021 106.07 -28.51 -11.32 -1.56 T
23.09
-15.36 -15.40 -9.85 T
8.99
22.13 -23.96 -3.54 29.59
2022 -20.41 -13.72 -15.63 -34.41 T
18.17
-25.25 T
16.64
-6.92 -16.58 6.04 T
-15.71
-2.74 -70.60
2023 T
54.00
-10.57 -5.75 T
3.32
T
26.87
22.29 34.39 -16.33 -9.10 T
-3.70
-3.83 T
27.08
121.11
2024 -18.86 T
16.17
-18.80 T
-6.09
-0.29 -2.36 T
17.26
T
11.59
4.38 46.40 48.64 -3.21 59.59
2025 T
11.68
-6.04 -14.30 T
5.04
6.31 33.21 28.00 20.30 6.06 15.22 -2.97 -9.82 85.28
2026 T
-16.93
-19.57 -13.65 T
3.01
10.89 T
-3.50
-11.55 T
-0.83
-7.80 -1.14 -42.97

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

SOFI - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange SOFI Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for SOFI:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
05.08.26 $18.25 21d -3.23% -2.03% -2.03% -2.03%
18.06.26 $17.91 15d +1.84% -3.29% -3.29% +0%
15.04.26 $18.79 16d -2.29% -17.38% -17.38% -17.38%
08.01.26 $27.72 4d -2.09% -2.09% -2.09% -2.09%
25.04.25 $12.88 47d +2.95% +2.41% +10.56% +105.12%
21.01.25 $17.90 8d -13.97% -13.97% -13.97% -13.97%
22.08.24 $7.19 20d +0.97% -1.53% -1.53% -1.53%
15.07.24 $7.33 9d +1.09% -9.28% -9.28% +0%
26.04.24 $7.87 4d -10.48% -10.48% -10.48% -10.48%
27.02.24 $9.15 3d -6.23% -6.23% -6.23% +0%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for SOFI: 30.38%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 3 +33.72% +23.99% +22.21% +22.21% Hold
5-7% 1 +6.53% +28.54% +30.22% +30.22% Hold
1-3% 3 +1.96% -3.39% -0.67% +35.04% Hold
0-1% 1 +0.97% -1.53% -1.53% -1.53% Close
-3-1% 2 -2.19% -9.73% -9.73% -9.73% Neg
-5-3% 2 -3.37% +9.02% +16.33% +11.69% Neg
-7-5% 1 -6.23% -6.23% -6.23% +0% Neg
-10-7% 1 -8.03% +8.75% -1.29% -1.29% Neg
<-10% 5 -12.11% -12.11% -12.11% -7.48% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

LOW ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 2

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
9%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
42% / 58%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
-464,511.1
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$12.00 · 23.4%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$16.00 · 2.2%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$15.66
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

SOFI GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

SOFI GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 9% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$22.80 B
PE Ratio (TTM)36.02
Forward PE21.33
PEG Ratio0.62
Price/Sales5.34
Price/Book2.06
Beta2.21

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin83.73%
Operating Margin16.96%
Net Margin14.91%
ROE7.10%
ROA1.25%

Analyst Consensus (22 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$19
High Target$30
Low Target$12

About SoFi Technologies, Inc.

SoFi Technologies, Inc. provides various financial services in the United States, Latin America, Canada, and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Lending, Technology Platform, and Financial Services. It offers lending and financial services and products that allows its members to borrow, save, spend, invest, and protect money; and personal loans, student loans, home loans, and related services. The company also operates Galileo, a technology platform that offers services to financial and non-financial institution; and Technisys, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform that provides software licenses and associated services, including implementation and maintenance. In addition, it provides SoFi Money offers checking and savings accounts, and cash management products; SoFi Invest, a mobile-first investment platform that offers access to trading and advisory solutions, such as investing and robo-advisory; and SoFI Crypto, a new digital asset trading platform. Further, the company offers SoFi Credit Card that provides cash back rewards on every purchase; Sofi Relay, a personal finance management product that allows to track all of their financial accounts comprising credit score and spending behaviors; SoFi Protect which offers insurance product; SoFi Travel, an application that manages travel search and booking experience; SoFi At Work provides financial benefits to employees, including student loan payments made on their employees' behalf; Lantern Credit, a financial services marketplace platform for seeking alternative products and provide product comparisons; and other lending as a service that offers pre-qualified borrower referrals and offers loans to third-party partner. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.

Frequently Asked Questions – SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.