Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
28.4
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
5%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
46% / 54%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
20.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$134.00
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
27d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+5.01%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+15.53%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+10.96%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
–
+60d
Not yet reached
Trend Overview
Trend Building – ConstructiveComposite Score: +4 / 7
SPCX is trending in a positive direction but the setup is not yet fully developed. Momentum has been running for 3 days and is still gaining strength – the trend is building. The overall configuration is constructive but not yet at peak alignment.
What to watch
The trend deserves respect but not blind confidence. Position sizing should reflect the incomplete alignment. A further improvement in momentum strength and ADX would raise conviction.
Trend Building – ConstructiveComposite Score: +4 / 7
SPCX is trending in a positive direction but the setup is not yet fully developed. Momentum has been running for 3 days and is still gaining strength – the trend is building. The overall configuration is constructive but not yet at peak alignment.
What to watch
The trend deserves respect but not blind confidence. Position sizing should reflect the incomplete alignment. A further improvement in momentum strength and ADX would raise conviction.
Indicator
Signal
Detail
Swing Trend
▲ Long
Primary directional bias
Momentum
▲ Up · 3d
Strength: 1.15 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)
28.4 – Strong
ADX38: 28.7
Volatility (HV30)
48.8% – Rising
HV90: 0.0% | HV180: 0.0%
Vola Compression
None
Normal range
MA Structure
Not available yet
Insufficient price history (<200 days)
EMA21 Distance
2.07 ATR ↓
EMA21: $150.31
GD200 Extension
0.0 ATR – Normal
GD20: 2.2 | GD50: 4.2 | GD100: 0.0
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 3 days and still gaining strength (current: 1.15). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 28.4 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 28.7. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 48.8% | HV90: 0.0% | HV180: 0.0%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
⏳ MA Cross – Not Yet Available
The 200-day moving average is not yet available – insufficient price history. Golden/Death Cross cannot be determined.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is 2.07 ATR from the EMA21 ($150.31) but the distance is shrinking.
T
A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
SPCX - Trendchange Chart
Trendchange Signal History
The last 1 Trendchange signals for SPCX:
Date
Entry Price
Days Held
+10d
+20d
+30d
+60d
20.08.26
$134.00
27d
+5.01%
+15.53%
+10.96%
+0%
Signal Statistics - Historical Edge
Calculated edge for SPCX: 0%
Range
N
10d
20d
30d
60d
Signal
5-7%
1
+5.01%
+15.53%
+10.96%
+0%
Close
Exit Rules:
Stoploss: -10% |
Close if below 7% after 10 days
Signal data as of October 7, 2026
HIGH ALERT
● Neutral
Strength: 10.5
Options Metrics
IV-Rank (52w)
5%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
46%
/ 54%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
21,353,442.3
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$131.00 · 21.8%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$162.50 · 3%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$167.60
Last traded price at signal calculation time
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our
options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, one setup stands out.
Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
IV-Rank at 5% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.
Advantages
✓Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?
A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.
Why buy a straddle when IV is low?
Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. It also provides launch services for the deployment of payloads to intended orbits for commercial and government customers utilizing Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy; and engages in the launch and development for the development of spacecraft and the provision of launch and mission services for government agency space programs utilizing Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship, and Dragon. Its company's Connectivity segment operates broadband data and communications network by various Starlink satellites in low-earth orbit, delivering connectivity to various consumers, enterprise, and government customers. The company's AI segment operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning a frontier LLM Grok; AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers; X, a real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform; and AI computational infrastructure. Space Exploration Technologies Corp. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Starbase, Texas.
Frequently Asked Questions – Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX)
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) is a publicly traded company in the Industrials sector, specifically in Aerospace & Defense, with a market capitalization of $1.95T. Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable r...
SPCX currently trades at a forward P/E of 95.59x. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.
SPCX reports a gross margin of 51.88%, an operating margin of -1.80%, a net profit margin of -35.66%. . These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.
Based on a consensus of 19 analysts, the median price target is $220.00, the most optimistic target is $450.00, the most conservative target is $117.00. At the current price of $167.60, the median target implies 31.3% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.
As of the most recent session, SPCX closed at $167.60. The swing trend is positive with ADX at 28.4 (strong trend strength). Momentum is bullish and has been running for 3 days. No Golden Cross is currently active. 30-day historical volatility is at 48.8%.
The most recent Trendchange signal for SPCX fired on 20.08.26 at $134.00. The position has been held for 27 trading days. 10-day return from entry: +5.01%. 20-day return: +15.53%. The historical edge of the signal system for SPCX is 0% across 1 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the 5-7% range, averaging 5% at 10 days and 0% at 60 days.
Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only.
This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
See our full Disclaimer.
