GDX – VanEck Gold Miners ETF

ETF

Equity Precious Metals | Inception: 2006-05-16

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$102.83
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+17.97%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 2 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
71.0
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
33%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
92% / 8%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
07.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$89.89
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
6d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+11.08%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Intact – Bullish Setup Composite Score: +5 / 7

GDX is in a well-structured bull trend. All major signals are aligned: positive swing trend, rising momentum over 21 days, and trend strength confirmed by ADX at 71.0. This is the type of environment where trend-following strategies carry a structural edge.

What to watch

The trend is your friend here. As long as momentum strength continues to hold or rise, the path of least resistance remains higher. Manage the trade with a trailing stop rather than a fixed target.

Latest GDX Reports

Exchange Traded Funds - Signals GDX Signal Follow-Up Review – +11.06% in 10 Days
Aug 21, 2026
Apr 29, 2026
Apr 16, 2026

GDX Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $102.83  ·  ATR14: $3.48

Trend Intact – Bullish Setup Composite Score: +5 / 7

GDX is in a well-structured bull trend. All major signals are aligned: positive swing trend, rising momentum over 21 days, and trend strength confirmed by ADX at 71.0. This is the type of environment where trend-following strategies carry a structural edge.

What to watch

The trend is your friend here. As long as momentum strength continues to hold or rise, the path of least resistance remains higher. Manage the trade with a trailing stop rather than a fixed target.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 21d Strength: 2.05 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 71.0 – Strong ADX38: 34.0
Volatility (HV30) 51.1% – Calm HV90: 53.0% | HV180: 53.7%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance 4.25 ATR ↑ EMA21: $86.46
GD200 Extension 4.6 ATR – Normal GD20: 5.7 | GD50: 8.0 | GD100: 5.8
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 21 days and still gaining strength (current: 2.05). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 71.0 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 34.0. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 51.1% | HV90: 53.0% | HV180: 53.7%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $80.42 below GD200 $88.54. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($86.46) with 4.25 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $85.83 (5.7 ATR) | GD50: $80.42 (8.0 ATR) | GD100: $85.55 (5.8 ATR) | GD200: $88.54 (4.6 ATR). ATR14: $3.48.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -14.66 2.21 -0.51 8.85 -0.05 4.30 -2.81 11.57 5.83 1.23 3.96 2.66 29.72
2011 -11.26 7.91 -1.16 4.07 -3.27 -4.36 5.86 9.49 -12.93 8.04 3.24 -14.48 -15.13
2012 4.93 -2.04 -11.36 -7.94 -5.71 -3.89 -4.30 13.47 12.38 -1.91 -8.59 0.83 -12.89
2013 -11.62 -11.40 2.00 -18.93 -0.49 -19.33 8.43 7.46 -11.93 2.80 -7.46 2.04 -54.72
2014 6.61 11.12 -10.23 1.74 -5.42 18.64 -1.27 1.87 -17.23 -19.58 2.55 -6.14 -15.99
2015 17.73 -5.21 -12.13 4.66 -3.43 -8.90 -20.45 6.32 0.48 11.61 -8.38 -2.26 -26.94
2016 0.85 32.29 7.55 28.35 -11.04 21.98 5.28 -17.59 0.04 -5.53 -17.08 1.54 48.87
2017 9.98 -4.21 -0.71 -4.19 4.63 -2.27 6.40 8.32 -7.36 -2.51 -0.05 4.17 7.68
2018 -0.32 -9.91 1.91 0.19 0.15 0.00 T
-3.63
-12.11 2.76 2.04 T
-2.43
T
9.08
-11.00
2019 7.78 -1.43 T
3.28
-4.90 5.20 T
13.65
7.80 7.23 -12.03 4.56 -3.31 T
8.52
40.07
2020 -1.24 T
-8.20
-15.56 T
34.22
3.12 T
3.66
17.47 -0.63 T
-6.03
-5.27 -10.24 0.68 23.36
2021 T
-10.39
-12.73 T
5.17
T
2.25
10.50 -13.96 2.82 -6.27 -8.97 T
8.13
-0.17 5.73 -15.36
2022 -3.25 T
12.64
6.94 -11.39 -8.17 -14.39 -6.72 -9.18 4.58 T
-3.51
22.99 -4.59 -4.08
2023 7.96 -15.97 T
15.08
1.51 -7.48 -5.94 T
2.35
-3.21 -7.49 T
7.77
11.42 -2.51 4.55
2024 -8.57 -9.20 T
15.70
3.43 5.94 -4.45 T
11.92
T
3.62
6.84 -0.27 -5.50 -7.93 10.96
2025 T
10.24
0.40 15.76 7.01 7.31 -3.18 T
-0.77
20.44 17.90 -6.57 T
16.73
3.56 142.70
2026 9.88 22.99 -20.44 T
-8.04
2.73 -12.96 -1.29 T
35.21
19.95

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for GDX:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
07.08.26 $89.89 6d +11.08% +0% +0% +0%
15.04.26 $97.77 9d -3.51% -0.64% -10.66% +5.18%
26.11.25 $81.55 43d +2.17% +9.99% +13.5% +7.11%
22.07.25 $54.48 70d +0.84% +6.64% +18.94% +85.92%
21.01.25 $37.61 77d +5.18% +10.45% +7.1% +101.04%
16.08.24 $38.49 33d +1.01% +4.16% +4.86% +18.78%
10.07.24 $37.05 13d +1.08% +0.59% +6.61% +0%
07.03.24 $29.61 49d +2.2% +10.71% +13.98% +24.65%
13.10.23 $28.95 26d -1.49% +0.69% +1.28% +20.73%
13.07.23 $32.19 8d -1.68% -2.42% -2.42% -11.43%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for GDX: 17.97%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 2 +26.33% +30.45% +35.1% +62.65% Hold
10-15% 1 +11.08% +0% +0% +0% Close
7-10% 2 +8.65% +9.47% +10.67% +7.23% Close
5-7% 5 +5.84% +13.79% +14.43% +31.01% Hold
3-5% 3 +3.84% +6.28% +8.81% +12.93% Hold
1-3% 7 +1.81% +3.98% +6.63% +7.87% Hold
0-1% 4 +0.6% +2.59% +4.97% +26.13% Hold
-1-0% 1 -0.24% -0.33% +0.14% -3.47% Neg
-3-1% 5 -1.95% +0.1% +0.92% +0.83% Neg
-5-3% 5 -3.52% -2.36% -4.36% +0.02% Neg
-7-5% 2 -5.88% -5.88% -5.88% -3% Neg
-10-7% 1 -7.46% -9.38% +0% +0% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 17

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
33%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
92% / 8%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
18,538,130.4
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$74.50 · 27.6%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$95.00 · 7.6%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$102.83
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

GDX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

GDX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About VanEck Gold Miners ETF

The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the fund’s benchmark index. The index is a modified capitalization weighted, float-adjusted index comprised of publicly traded companies primarily involved in the gold and silver mining industry. The fund is non-diversified.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$28.16 B
Expense Ratio0.51%
Dividend Yield0.34%
Portfolio Turnover50%
YTD Return611.49%
3-Year Return44.67%
5-Year Return25.12%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Materials 18.2%
Information Technology 7.4%
Communication Services 2%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
NEM NEWMONT CORP 13.08%
AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD 11.46%
B BARRICK MINING CORP 7.37%
WPM WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP 7.1%
FNV FRANCO-NEVADA CORP 5.74%
GFI GOLD FIELDS LTD ADR 5.11%
AU ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI PLC 4.59%
KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP 4.15%
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP 2.28%
AGI ALAMOS GOLD INC CLASS A 1.98%

Frequently Asked Questions – VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.