VIX & Volatility Analysis

VIX at 15.08: Volatility Remains Suppressed as Markets Price In Stability The VIX closed at 15.08 on October 7th, holding near the lowest levels of the year. Volatility sits 4.35 points below the two-year mean and continues to signal a market that has largely reconciled its near-term risks. This report examines where suppressed volatility stands…

VIX at 15.01: Suppressed Volatility Masks Structural Calm The VIX closed at 15.01 on October 6, 2026, marking a 3.29% decline from yesterday’s 15.52. This reading sits 2.23 points below the two-year median of 17.24, placing today’s fear gauge in the lowest 13th percentile of all trading days over the past twelve months. Markets are…

VIX at 15.52: Why Calm Markets Hide Real Risk The VIX currently sits at 15.52, reflecting a market that has priced in stability and absent immediate threats. Yet this apparent serenity masks something traders should not overlook: a volatility structure that remains suppressed relative to its two-year average, combined with term structure positioning that suggests…

VIX at 15.31: Markets Price in Calm, but Structure Signals Caution The VIX currently stands at 15.31, marking a 6.59% decline from yesterday’s close and signaling that fear has receded from the market for now. This report examines what that number means for your risk exposure, how the term structure is behaving, and what historical…

VIX at 16.39: Calm Before the Storm or Just Genuine Quiet? The VIX closed at 16.39 on October 1st, up just 0.05 points from the prior session. That’s noise. But zoom out five days and you’re looking at a 10.22% climb from 14.87, which is the kind of move that gets my attention. The question…

VIX at 16.34: Markets Pricing Calm While Historical Data Whispers Caution The VIX closed at 16.34 on September 30, 2026, up 0.30 points from the prior session and marking a 4.28% gain over the past five trading days. This reading sits below the two-year median of 17.24 and well below the mean of 19.43, placing…

VIX at 16.04: Suppressed Volatility Meets Rising Term Structure The VIX currently stands at 16.04, down just 0.03 points from yesterday but up 5.67% over the past five days. This reading sits 1.20 points below the two-year median and 3.39 points below the historical mean, placing it in the 29th percentile for the past year….

VIX at 16.07: Calm Persists, but the Term Structure Warns of Patience Wearing Thin The VIX closed at 16.07 on September 28, 2026, up 1.20 points from the previous session. This marks a subdued volatility environment, sitting below both the two-year median and mean. Markets are pricing in stability, but the shape of the futures…

VIX at 14.87: Markets Price in Calm, But the Structure Reveals a Deeper Question Volatility contracted 5.11% today, closing the VIX at 14.87. That’s 2.37 points below the two-year median and 4.56 below the historical mean. On the surface, this reads as complacency: markets have priced in a stable environment, and fear has receded. But…