XLP – State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF

ETF

Consumer Defensive | Inception: 1998-12-16

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$81.70
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+2.04%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 10 signals – treat with caution
15.1
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
29%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
23% / 77%
Call / Put Flow
Bearish positioning – put premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
07.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$84.86
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
4d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-0.55%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-0.55%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-0.55%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-0.55%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

XLP is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

XLP Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $81.70  ·  ATR14: $1.16

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

XLP is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -26d Strength: -0.16 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 15.1 – Weak ADX38: 14.4
Volatility (HV30) 11.6% – Calm HV90: 15.9% | HV180: 15.4%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance -0.62 ATR ↑ EMA21: $81.92
GD200 Extension -2.1 ATR – Normal GD20: -0.6 | GD50: -2.5 | GD100: -2.6
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -26 days and still building (-0.16). Selling pressure is not easing.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 15.1 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 14.4. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 11.6% | HV90: 15.9% | HV180: 15.4%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $84.14 above GD200 $83.76 by 0.46%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($81.92) with -0.62 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $82.26 (-0.6 ATR) | GD50: $84.14 (-2.5 ATR) | GD100: $84.19 (-2.6 ATR) | GD200: $83.76 (-2.1 ATR). ATR14: $1.16.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -1.76 2.39 2.61 -1.71 -5.18 -3.00 5.60 -2.97 3.45 3.01 -1.15 1.84 9.90
2011 -1.60 2.17 1.46 4.82 2.38 -2.35 -2.03 0.55 -3.64 6.19 4.59 2.01 10.70
2012 -1.32 3.01 2.71 -0.49 -1.43 4.86 1.89 0.03 0.45 -1.86 1.78 -2.79 7.52
2013 2.99 2.48 4.06 2.99 -2.08 -2.03 3.58 -5.32 0.81 5.77 1.18 0.47 20.06
2014 -3.98 6.19 2.23 2.91 1.90 -0.69 -3.53 3.82 -0.09 4.19 5.14 -1.00 14.23
2015 -0.68 2.92 -2.71 -0.88 -0.04 -2.44 4.36 -6.09 1.83 5.70 -1.51 1.30 4.43
2016 1.83 -0.02 3.21 -2.46 -0.45 3.67 -0.35 -0.69 -2.19 -0.13 -3.79 2.91 3.73
2017 1.33 5.60 -1.41 1.27 3.04 -3.78 0.78 -1.00 -1.80 -1.47 5.24 1.25 9.61
2018 2.26 -7.23 -1.24 -1.73 -0.70 3.77 4.57 1.24 0.41 T
2.08
1.55 -9.82 -10.19
2019 T
5.76
2.10 3.45 3.20 -2.44 T
3.13
1.73 2.53 0.57 T
-0.16
1.39 1.35 24.76
2020 1.12 -8.21 -10.84 T
8.80
2.79 T
-1.68
T
6.83
4.88 -2.36 T
-3.41
T
5.79
-0.07 7.95
2021 -3.94 -1.33 T
6.83
2.35 0.94 -0.85 T
2.51
1.47 -5.23 T
3.23
-1.50 10.24 15.57
2022 -1.47 -1.32 T
1.92
1.29 -2.81 -1.80 T
1.73
-3.06 -9.24 T
7.16
6.45 -2.98 -3.31
2023 -0.71 -3.09 T
4.49
3.12 -6.23 2.15 1.34 -3.42 -4.62 -0.70 T
4.23
1.52 -3.02
2024 0.11 0.05 2.55 T
-0.33
3.09 -0.94 T
2.38
5.01 -0.11 -3.14 T
3.83
-5.43 7.92
2025 0.78 T
4.78
-2.22 T
0.05
2.11 -2.30 T
-2.68
T
0.77
-2.83 T
-2.52
T
4.88
-2.03 -0.88
2026 7.49 6.52 -7.59 3.50 T
-1.50
T
1.27
T
2.10
0.14 -5.45 1.71 5.16

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

XLP - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange XLP Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for XLP:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
07.07.26 $84.86 4d -0.55% -0.55% -0.55% -0.55%
29.06.26 $84.37 1d +0% +0% +0% +0%
11.06.26 $85.27 2d -2.31% +0% +0% +0%
04.05.26 $83.54 22d +1.32% +1.07% +1.07% +0%
26.11.25 $78.91 17d -0.87% -1.31% -1.31% -1.31%
27.10.25 $79.22 3d +0% +0% +0% +0%
07.08.25 $82.24 20d +1.19% -2.08% -2.08% -2.08%
03.07.25 $82.18 3d -1.65% -1.65% -1.65% +0%
17.04.25 $81.87 8d -0.92% -1.17% -1.17% -1.17%
10.02.25 $79.84 27d +3.24% +3.56% +2.04% +2.04%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for XLP: 2.04%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
3-5% 10 +3.86% +4.04% +4.54% +4.91% Hold
1-3% 25 +1.56% +1.85% +2.24% +2.53% Hold
0-1% 17 +0.53% +1.32% +1.16% +1.17% Close
-1-0% 26 -0.51% -0.46% -0.47% -0.14% Neg
-3-1% 19 -1.89% -1.23% -0.56% +0.25% Neg
-5-3% 4 -3.29% -1.81% -2.07% -0.41% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 4

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
29%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
23% / 77%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into puts. This indicates net bearish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
2,320,899.3
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$82.00 · 0.4%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$82.00 · 0.4%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$81.70
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

XLP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

XLP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF

In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Consumer Staples companies by the GICS®. It is non-diversified.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$17.56 B
Expense Ratio0.08%
Dividend Yield2.45%
Portfolio Turnover8%
YTD Return15.86%
3-Year Return6.45%
5-Year Return6.17%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Consumer Staples 99.4%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
WMT WALMART INC 11.87%
COST COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP 9.53%
PG PROCTER & GAMBLE CO 7.63%
KO COCA-COLA CO 6.47%
PM PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC 5.84%
MO ALTRIA GROUP INC 4.75%
PEP PEPSICO INC 4.63%
CL COLGATE-PALMOLIVE CO 4.6%
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC CLASS A 4.37%
MNST MONSTER BEVERAGE CORP 3.47%

Frequently Asked Questions – State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.