UNG – United States Natural Gas Fund, LP

ETF

Commodities Focused | Inception: 2007-04-18

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$11.03
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+20.77%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 1 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
40.5
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Last Trendchange Signal
07.10.26
Date
Signal entry date
$11.03
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
1d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
–
+10d
Not yet reached
–
+20d
Not yet reached
–
+30d
Not yet reached
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Intact – Bullish Setup Composite Score: +6 / 7

UNG is in a well-structured bull trend. All major signals are aligned: positive swing trend, rising momentum over 1 days, and trend strength confirmed by ADX at 40.5. This is the type of environment where trend-following strategies carry a structural edge.

What to watch

The trend is your friend here. As long as momentum strength continues to hold or rise, the path of least resistance remains higher. Manage the trade with a trailing stop rather than a fixed target.

UNG Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $11.03  ·  ATR14: $3.18

Trend Intact – Bullish Setup Composite Score: +6 / 7

UNG is in a well-structured bull trend. All major signals are aligned: positive swing trend, rising momentum over 1 days, and trend strength confirmed by ADX at 40.5. This is the type of environment where trend-following strategies carry a structural edge.

What to watch

The trend is your friend here. As long as momentum strength continues to hold or rise, the path of least resistance remains higher. Manage the trade with a trailing stop rather than a fixed target.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 1d Strength: 0.13 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 40.5 – Strong ADX38: 20.6
Volatility (HV30) 39.6% – Rising HV90: 35.3% | HV180: 54.1%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance 1.33 ATR ↑ EMA21: $10.40
GD200 Extension -0.8 ATR – Normal GD20: 1.4 | GD50: 2.2 | GD100: 0.7
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 1 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.13). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 40.5 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 20.6. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 39.6% | HV90: 35.3% | HV180: 54.1%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $10.31 below GD200 $11.33. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($10.40) with 1.33 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $10.57 (1.4 ATR) | GD50: $10.31 (2.2 ATR) | GD100: $10.78 (0.7 ATR) | GD200: $11.33 (-0.8 ATR). ATR14: $3.18.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -12.50 -11.22 -18.99 -5.90 6.45 7.64 1.72 -19.55 -1.59 -4.12 4.71 1.87 -43.70
2011 -5.07 -8.64 11.00 6.44 -2.64 -6.29 -3.40 -3.40 -11.49 1.58 -9.44 -19.45 -48.81
2012 -18.86 1.83 -18.57 1.30 -0.65 19.22 14.20 -13.03 11.44 -2.64 -5.78 -7.76 -26.97
2013 2.85 3.45 14.74 6.83 -8.78 -11.07 -4.06 5.75 -5.04 -4.15 9.74 6.93 13.43
2014 15.53 4.94 -1.85 11.37 -3.49 -3.61 -13.77 6.41 3.75 -5.94 0.66 -27.81 -29.43
2015 -8.62 0.51 -3.15 2.75 -6.13 5.20 -2.25 -3.79 -8.65 -12.18 -8.11 -0.57 -42.05
2016 -0.47 -23.51 7.77 4.84 4.24 20.00 -3.39 2.05 1.46 -3.12 9.06 5.42 9.50
2017 -5.76 -15.32 11.82 1.75 -7.36 -1.31 -5.11 6.00 -3.24 -6.27 1.34 -4.43 -30.10
2018 4.33 -8.58 0.45 T
2.36
4.64 -1.37 -1.81 T
5.69
T
7.44
3.85 41.36 -29.68 2.79
2019 3.23 1.23 -6.38 -6.10 -6.94 -3.40 -0.05 4.88 T
-1.87
5.90 T
-16.49
-6.12 -31.16
2020 -12.75 -7.81 T
-7.58
T
11.66
-12.99 -6.64 3.74 17.83 -15.48 T
13.45
-13.47 -11.79 -44.14
2021 T
-0.42
0.00 -7.62 T
8.35
-1.03 19.78 7.58 10.53 25.22 -4.25 -13.28 -10.21 32.17
2022 T
33.20
-9.59 T
22.41
25.50 7.35 -36.19 T
48.21
11.05 -26.34 -9.26 T
12.63
-32.44 10.42
2023 -27.07 7.29 -25.38 4.47 T
-8.28
T
24.92
-1.80 T
2.75
-3.12 T
13.12
-24.07 -6.97 -60.33
2024 T
-5.44
-12.53 -11.27 -6.17 T
24.40
-7.88 -18.29 2.14 T
17.57
-22.36 T
15.63
21.11 -19.03
2025 -4.82 15.31 -1.55 -19.13 -9.30 -9.43 -10.06 -5.80 2.27 T
-2.72
7.05 -19.40 -27.92
2026 T
40.13
-9.29 -2.25 -7.18 T
11.39
1.56 -12.67 T
4.25
-1.98 T
8.56
-8.54

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

UNG - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange UNG Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for UNG:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
07.10.26 $11.03 1d +0% +0% +0% +0%
31.08.26 $10.54 9d -3.32% -3.32% -3.32% +0%
19.05.26 $11.90 11d -3.61% -3.03% -3.03% -3.03%
27.01.26 $14.70 12d -17.21% -17.21% -17.21% -17.21%
31.10.25 $13.25 36d +11.77% +11.17% +7.62% +7.62%
24.10.25 $12.97 1d -0.62% +0% +0% +0%
01.10.25 $13.62 4d -9.47% -9.47% +0% +0%
26.11.24 $15.08 4d -12.4% -12.4% -12.4% -12.4%
12.09.24 $14.83 25d +6.88% +2.83% +2.83% +2.83%
06.05.24 $16.06 36d +18.93% +17.81% +19.3% +24.16%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for UNG: 20.77%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +18.93% +17.81% +19.3% +24.16% Hold
10-15% 2 +10.98% +11.95% +7.89% +7.89% Close
7-10% 7 +8.47% +8.45% +7.68% +5.75% Close
5-7% 4 +6.08% +6.29% +4.38% +2.48% Close
3-5% 5 +3.99% +2.35% +1.84% +1.71% Close
1-3% 4 +1.39% -1.26% -1.26% +0% Close
-1-0% 4 -0.5% +2.63% +2.61% +2.61% Neg
-3-1% 6 -2.19% -2.42% -2.42% -2.06% Neg
-5-3% 17 -3.86% -2.67% -1.13% +1.84% Neg
-7-5% 7 -5.6% -5.6% -5.6% -3.22% Neg
-10-7% 2 -8.8% -4.74% +0% +0% Neg
<-10% 7 -15.6% -15.6% -15.6% -11.26% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 15% after 10 days
📊

No Options Data Available

Options flow data for UNG is not yet tracked. Check back after the next market session.

About United States Natural Gas Fund, LP

The fund invests primarily in futures contracts for natural gas that are traded on the NYMEX, ICE Futures Europe and ICE Futures U.S. (together, “ICE Futures”) or other U.S. and foreign exchanges. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on natural gas as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$450.86 M
Expense Ratio1.24%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Portfolio Turnover0%
YTD Return-4.10%
3-Year Return-23.34%
5-Year Return-20.77%

Frequently Asked Questions – United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.