UNG – United States Natural Gas Fund, LP

ETF

Commodities Focused | Inception: 2007-04-18

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$9.99
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+49.61%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 1 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
1.4
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Last Trendchange Signal
19.05.26
Date
Signal entry date
$11.90
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
11d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-3.61%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-1.18%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-3.19%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-2.52%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +1 / 7

UNG shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Latest UNG Reports

UNG Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $9.99  ·  ATR14: $2.64

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +1 / 7

UNG shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 8d Strength: 0.25 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 1.4 – Weak ADX38: 23.6
Volatility (HV30) 28.7% – Calm HV90: 36.7% | HV180: 65.3%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $10.01
GD200 Extension -6.1 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.1 | GD50: -2.5 | GD100: -3.1
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 8 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.25). Trend is building, not fading.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 1.4 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 23.6. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 28.7% | HV90: 36.7% | HV180: 65.3%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $10.69 below GD200 $11.92. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.
🎯 EMA21 – Bounce Confirmed
Price touched the EMA21 at $10.01 and is pulling away with rising distance. Classic continuation setup.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $9.96 (0.1 ATR) | GD50: $10.69 (-2.5 ATR) | GD100: $10.89 (-3.1 ATR) | GD200: $11.92 (-6.1 ATR). ATR14: $2.64.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -12.50 -11.22 -18.99 -5.90 6.45 7.64 1.72 -19.55 -1.59 -4.12 4.71 1.87 -43.70
2011 -5.07 -8.64 11.00 6.44 -2.64 -6.29 -3.40 -3.40 -11.49 1.58 -9.44 -19.45 -48.81
2012 -18.86 1.83 -18.57 1.30 -0.65 19.22 14.20 -13.03 11.44 -2.64 -5.78 -7.76 -26.97
2013 2.85 3.45 14.74 6.83 -8.78 -11.07 -4.06 5.75 -5.04 -4.15 9.74 6.93 13.43
2014 15.53 4.94 -1.85 11.37 -3.49 -3.61 -13.77 6.41 3.75 -5.94 0.66 -27.81 -29.43
2015 -8.62 0.51 -3.15 2.75 -6.13 5.20 -2.25 -3.79 -8.65 -12.18 -8.11 -0.57 -42.05
2016 -0.47 -23.51 7.77 4.84 4.24 20.00 -3.39 2.05 1.46 -3.12 9.06 5.42 9.50
2017 -5.76 -15.32 11.82 1.75 -7.36 -1.31 -5.11 6.00 -3.24 -6.27 T
1.34
-4.43 -30.10
2018 T
4.33
-8.58 0.45 T
2.36
4.64 -1.37 -1.81 T
5.69
T
7.44
3.85 41.36 -29.68 2.79
2019 3.23 1.23 -6.38 -6.10 -6.94 -3.40 -0.05 4.88 T
-1.87
5.90 T
-16.49
-6.12 -31.16
2020 -12.75 -7.81 T
-7.58
T
11.66
-12.99 -6.64 3.74 17.83 -15.48 T
13.45
-13.47 -11.79 -44.14
2021 T
-0.42
0.00 -7.62 T
8.35
-1.03 19.78 7.58 10.53 25.22 -4.25 -13.28 -10.21 32.17
2022 T
33.20
-9.59 T
22.41
25.50 7.35 -36.19 T
48.21
11.05 -26.34 -9.26 T
12.63
-32.44 10.42
2023 -27.07 7.29 -25.38 4.47 T
-8.28
T
24.92
-1.80 T
2.75
-3.12 T
13.12
-24.07 -6.97 -60.33
2024 T
-5.44
-12.53 -11.27 -6.17 T
24.40
-7.88 -18.29 2.14 T
17.57
-22.36 T
15.63
21.11 -19.03
2025 -4.82 15.31 -1.55 -19.13 -9.30 -9.43 -10.06 -5.80 2.27 T
-2.72
7.05 -19.40 -27.92
2026 T
40.13
-9.29 -2.25 -7.18 T
11.39
1.56 -12.67 -1.19 -17.16

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for UNG:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
19.05.26 $11.90 11d -3.61% -1.18% -3.19% -2.52%
27.01.26 $14.70 12d -17.21% -17.21% -17.21% -21.09%
31.10.25 $13.25 37d +11.77% +11.17% +7.62% -8.15%
24.10.25 $12.97 3d +6.09% +0% +0% +0%
01.10.25 $13.62 4d -9.47% -5.36% +0% +0%
26.11.24 $15.08 25d -8.42% +7.03% +22.15% -19.3%
12.09.24 $14.83 25d +6.88% +2.83% +2.83% +6.27%
06.05.24 $16.06 36d +18.93% +17.81% +19.3% -5.04%
09.01.24 $25.92 8d -19.75% -19.75% -19.75% -24%
05.10.23 $29.64 16d -3.1% -6.75% -6.75% -29.82%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for UNG: 49.61%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +18.93% +17.81% +19.3% -5.04% Close
10-15% 2 +10.98% +11.95% +8.59% -10.93% Close
7-10% 3 +7.94% +6.87% +4.57% +4.48% Close
5-7% 3 +6.22% +1.67% +2.21% +2.09% Close
3-5% 4 +4.15% +3.23% +3.43% +45.78% Hold
1-3% 2 +1.34% -0.75% -0.75% -3.8% Close
0-1% 1 +0.15% -6.16% -6.16% -31.11% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.57% +9.79% +9.76% -21.69% Neg
-3-1% 2 -2.5% -0.72% -0.19% -2.11% Neg
-5-3% 7 -3.81% -0.8% +4.81% +7.11% Neg
-7-5% 3 -5.73% -5.73% -7.85% -14.41% Neg
-10-7% 3 -8.67% +0.56% +7.38% -6.43% Neg
<-10% 5 -15.53% -13.8% -11.71% -23.77% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 3% after 10 days
📊

No Options Data Available

Options flow data for UNG is not yet tracked. Check back after the next market session.

About United States Natural Gas Fund, LP

The fund invests primarily in futures contracts for natural gas that are traded on the NYMEX, ICE Futures Europe and ICE Futures U.S. (together, “ICE Futures”) or other U.S. and foreign exchanges. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on natural gas as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$450.86 M
Expense Ratio1.24%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Portfolio Turnover0%
YTD Return-409.94%
3-Year Return-23.34%
5-Year Return-20.77%

Frequently Asked Questions – United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.