UNG – United States Natural Gas Fund, LP
ETFCommodities Focused | Inception: 2007-04-18
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
UNG is in a well-structured bull trend. All major signals are aligned: positive swing trend, rising momentum over 1 days, and trend strength confirmed by ADX at 40.5. This is the type of environment where trend-following strategies carry a structural edge.
The trend is your friend here. As long as momentum strength continues to hold or rise, the path of least resistance remains higher. Manage the trade with a trailing stop rather than a fixed target.
UNG Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $11.03 · ATR14: $3.18
UNG is in a well-structured bull trend. All major signals are aligned: positive swing trend, rising momentum over 1 days, and trend strength confirmed by ADX at 40.5. This is the type of environment where trend-following strategies carry a structural edge.
The trend is your friend here. As long as momentum strength continues to hold or rise, the path of least resistance remains higher. Manage the trade with a trailing stop rather than a fixed target.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▲ Long | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▲ Up · 1d | Strength: 0.13 – Rising |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 40.5 – Strong | ADX38: 20.6 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 39.6% – Rising | HV90: 35.3% | HV180: 54.1% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Death Cross ✗ | Stack: Partially aligned (1/3) |
| EMA21 Distance | 1.33 ATR ↑ | EMA21: $10.40 |
| GD200 Extension | -0.8 ATR – Normal | GD20: 1.4 | GD50: 2.2 | GD100: 0.7 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -12.50 | -11.22 | -18.99 | -5.90 | 6.45 | 7.64 | 1.72 | -19.55 | -1.59 | -4.12 | 4.71 | 1.87 | -43.70 |
| 2011 | -5.07 | -8.64 | 11.00 | 6.44 | -2.64 | -6.29 | -3.40 | -3.40 | -11.49 | 1.58 | -9.44 | -19.45 | -48.81 |
| 2012 | -18.86 | 1.83 | -18.57 | 1.30 | -0.65 | 19.22 | 14.20 | -13.03 | 11.44 | -2.64 | -5.78 | -7.76 | -26.97 |
| 2013 | 2.85 | 3.45 | 14.74 | 6.83 | -8.78 | -11.07 | -4.06 | 5.75 | -5.04 | -4.15 | 9.74 | 6.93 | 13.43 |
| 2014 | 15.53 | 4.94 | -1.85 | 11.37 | -3.49 | -3.61 | -13.77 | 6.41 | 3.75 | -5.94 | 0.66 | -27.81 | -29.43 |
| 2015 | -8.62 | 0.51 | -3.15 | 2.75 | -6.13 | 5.20 | -2.25 | -3.79 | -8.65 | -12.18 | -8.11 | -0.57 | -42.05 |
| 2016 | -0.47 | -23.51 | 7.77 | 4.84 | 4.24 | 20.00 | -3.39 | 2.05 | 1.46 | -3.12 | 9.06 | 5.42 | 9.50 |
| 2017 | -5.76 | -15.32 | 11.82 | 1.75 | -7.36 | -1.31 | -5.11 | 6.00 | -3.24 | -6.27 | 1.34 | -4.43 | -30.10 |
| 2018 | 4.33 | -8.58 | 0.45 |
T 2.36 |
4.64 | -1.37 | -1.81 |
T 5.69 |
T 7.44 |
3.85 | 41.36 | -29.68 | 2.79 |
| 2019 | 3.23 | 1.23 | -6.38 | -6.10 | -6.94 | -3.40 | -0.05 | 4.88 |
T -1.87 |
5.90 |
T -16.49 |
-6.12 | -31.16 |
| 2020 | -12.75 | -7.81 |
T -7.58 |
T 11.66 |
-12.99 | -6.64 | 3.74 | 17.83 | -15.48 |
T 13.45 |
-13.47 | -11.79 | -44.14 |
| 2021 |
T -0.42 |
0.00 | -7.62 |
T 8.35 |
-1.03 | 19.78 | 7.58 | 10.53 | 25.22 | -4.25 | -13.28 | -10.21 | 32.17 |
| 2022 |
T 33.20 |
-9.59 |
T 22.41 |
25.50 | 7.35 | -36.19 |
T 48.21 |
11.05 | -26.34 | -9.26 |
T 12.63 |
-32.44 | 10.42 |
| 2023 | -27.07 | 7.29 | -25.38 | 4.47 |
T -8.28 |
T 24.92 |
-1.80 |
T 2.75 |
-3.12 |
T 13.12 |
-24.07 | -6.97 | -60.33 |
| 2024 |
T -5.44 |
-12.53 | -11.27 | -6.17 |
T 24.40 |
-7.88 | -18.29 | 2.14 |
T 17.57 |
-22.36 |
T 15.63 |
21.11 | -19.03 |
| 2025 | -4.82 | 15.31 | -1.55 | -19.13 | -9.30 | -9.43 | -10.06 | -5.80 | 2.27 |
T -2.72 |
7.05 | -19.40 | -27.92 |
| 2026 |
T 40.13 |
-9.29 | -2.25 | -7.18 |
T 11.39 |
1.56 | -12.67 |
T 4.25 |
-1.98 |
T 8.56 |
-8.54 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
UNG - Trendchange Chart
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for UNG:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.10.26 | $11.03 | 1d | +0% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
| 31.08.26 | $10.54 | 9d | -3.32% | -3.32% | -3.32% | +0% |
| 19.05.26 | $11.90 | 11d | -3.61% | -3.03% | -3.03% | -3.03% |
| 27.01.26 | $14.70 | 12d | -17.21% | -17.21% | -17.21% | -17.21% |
| 31.10.25 | $13.25 | 36d | +11.77% | +11.17% | +7.62% | +7.62% |
| 24.10.25 | $12.97 | 1d | -0.62% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
| 01.10.25 | $13.62 | 4d | -9.47% | -9.47% | +0% | +0% |
| 26.11.24 | $15.08 | 4d | -12.4% | -12.4% | -12.4% | -12.4% |
| 12.09.24 | $14.83 | 25d | +6.88% | +2.83% | +2.83% | +2.83% |
| 06.05.24 | $16.06 | 36d | +18.93% | +17.81% | +19.3% | +24.16% |
Signal Statistics - Historical Edge
Calculated edge for UNG: 20.77%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-20% | 1 | +18.93% | +17.81% | +19.3% | +24.16% | Hold |
| 10-15% | 2 | +10.98% | +11.95% | +7.89% | +7.89% | Close |
| 7-10% | 7 | +8.47% | +8.45% | +7.68% | +5.75% | Close |
| 5-7% | 4 | +6.08% | +6.29% | +4.38% | +2.48% | Close |
| 3-5% | 5 | +3.99% | +2.35% | +1.84% | +1.71% | Close |
| 1-3% | 4 | +1.39% | -1.26% | -1.26% | +0% | Close |
| -1-0% | 4 | -0.5% | +2.63% | +2.61% | +2.61% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 6 | -2.19% | -2.42% | -2.42% | -2.06% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 17 | -3.86% | -2.67% | -1.13% | +1.84% | Neg |
| -7-5% | 7 | -5.6% | -5.6% | -5.6% | -3.22% | Neg |
| -10-7% | 2 | -8.8% | -4.74% | +0% | +0% | Neg |
| <-10% | 7 | -15.6% | -15.6% | -15.6% | -11.26% | Neg |
No Options Data Available
Options flow data for UNG is not yet tracked. Check back after the next market session.
About United States Natural Gas Fund, LP
The fund invests primarily in futures contracts for natural gas that are traded on the NYMEX, ICE Futures Europe and ICE Futures U.S. (together, “ICE Futures”) or other U.S. and foreign exchanges. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on natural gas as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration.
Fund Overview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Assets under Management | $450.86 M |
| Expense Ratio | 1.24% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Portfolio Turnover | 0% |
| YTD Return | -4.10% |
| 3-Year Return | -23.34% |
| 5-Year Return | -20.77% |
